Match Analysis: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada
Game Overview
The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-1) host the struggling Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (0-2) at Mackay Stadium. Nevada enters as a heavy favorite following a close win over Sacramento State, while Middle Tennessee is winless with defensive struggles and offensive inefficiency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nevada is 1-1 with a recent narrow win (20-17), showing competitive but inconsistent play. Middle Tennessee is 0-2, coming off a heavy 42-10 loss to Wisconsin, with poor offense averaging under 40 rushing yards per game and a defense allowing about 38 points and 389 yards per game.
- Recent direct matchups favor Nevada, who have demonstrated more consistent performance against Middle Tennessee historically. Specific recent H2H data not available but overall trend supports Nevada dominance.
- No major injury reports altering key personnel found in last updates for either team, suggesting lineups likely near full strength.
- Home field advantage for Nevada at Mackay Stadium with favorable weather expected (77Β°F, no rain, light wind), supporting offensive effectiveness. Middle Tennessee faces fatigue and morale issues from a 5-game losing streak overall.
- Nevada motivated to improve to 2-1 after a close opener, seeking to capitalize on home crowd and weaker opponent. Middle Tennessee under pressure after two losses, likely with low confidence and struggling on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Nevada Wolf Pack: -355, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: +280 | Nevada Wolf Pack | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Nevada Wolf Pack -9.5: -110, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +9.5: -110 | Nevada Wolf Pack -9.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 48.5: -110, Under 48.5: -110 | Over 48.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Nevada Wolf Pack -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 48.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nevada to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -9.5 spread, and the total score to go over 48.5 points.
Predicted Score: Nevada Wolf Pack 31 – Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21