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Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reese has a higher significant strike rate (4.28/min) and better strike accuracy (54%) compared to Dumas (2.10/min, 45%). Reese also absorbs more strikes (2.99/min) versus Dumas (2.50/min), but Dumas boasts superior strike defense (55% vs 43%).
  • No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Reese and Dumas.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter before the bout.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no notable external influences detected. Dumas appears motivated despite financial hardship, which could impact focus.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings; Reese’s recent momentum and style advantage may give him psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -238, away: +195 Zachary Reese ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -230, away: +165 Zachary Reese -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: +124, under: -160 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zachary Reese -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese to win on moneyline and cover the spread with a fight total going under 1.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins via TKO in round 2


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Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas Prediction

Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 8:45 PM UTC Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas Game Overview Middleweight bout between Zachary Reese (9-2) and Sedriques Dumas (10-3) with contrasting styles: Reese is a switch fighter with higher striking output, while Dumas is orthodox with strong strike […]

MMA/Boxing Sedriques Dumas September 13, 2025 Zachary Reese

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Claudio Puelles vs. Joaquim Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 10:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

UFC lightweight bout featuring Claudio Puelles (29, 13-4-0) versus Joaquim Silva (36, 13-6-0), both southpaws with contrasting styles. Puelles known for solid submission game and defensive striking, Silva for higher volume striking and durability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Puelles is coming off a loss after a long layoff, but historically durable and has a high submission threat. Silva has been more active recently but on a two-fight losing streak; Silva lands more significant strikes per minute but absorbs more as well.
  • No direct head-to-head fights found between Puelles and Silva, making this a stylistic clash rather than familiarity-based.
  • No current reported injuries for either fighter impacting performance.
  • Fight is at a neutral venue; no home advantage for either. Both fighters have similar southpaw stance, minimizing stance-related advantages.
  • Puelles looks motivated to rebound after recent setbacks and long layoffs; Silva seeks to end a losing streak and stabilize his UFC trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Claudio Puelles: -112, Joaquim Silva: -108 Joaquim Silva ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Claudio Puelles -3.5: +140, Joaquim Silva +3.5: -195 Joaquim Silva +3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -140, Under 2.5 rounds: +110 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joaquim Silva -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joaquim Silva by Decision

Predicted Score: Joaquim Silva wins via 3-round decision


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Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Tatiana Suarez faces Amanda Lemos in a highly anticipated strawweight bout, with Suarez favored due to superior striking accuracy and defense, recent competitive form, and motivation to rebound after her first career loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Suarez holds an 11-1 record with a high striking accuracy (61%) and strong defense, allowing only 1.58 significant strikes per minute. Lemos is 15-4-1, landing 54% of strikes and absorbing 3.46 per minute, indicating Suarez's dominance in striking exchanges.
  • No prior head-to-head fights recorded between Suarez and Lemos.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter as of fight week.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue; no external environmental or travel-related disadvantages reported.
  • Suarez is highly motivated to rebound from her first career loss and reassert her position as a title contender. Lemos aims to break into the top tier with a win, making the motivation relatively even but with Suarez slightly favored due to recent title experience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Tatiana Suarez -455 / Amanda Lemos +350 Tatiana Suarez ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Tatiana Suarez -7.5 (-140) / Amanda Lemos +7.5 (+100) Tatiana Suarez -7.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (+100) / Under 2.5 rounds (-130) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tatiana Suarez -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tatiana Suarez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Suarez wins by unanimous decision (3-0 rounds)


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Jesus Santos Aguilar vs. Luis Gurule Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jesus Santos Aguilar vs Luis Gurule – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

Flyweight bout between aggressive striker Jesus Santos Aguilar and technically skilled wrestler Luis Gurule.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aguilar is known for forward pressure striking and KO power but has a weaker takedown defense. Gurule boasts strong wrestling skills and comparable striking, making him a balanced and resilient fighter.
  • No recorded previous meetings between Aguilar and Gurule, making this a fresh matchup with no direct H2H data.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter, both appear healthy and fight-ready.
  • Fight is at a neutral venue with no significant altitude or climate issues. Both fighters are performing in their prime age range.
  • Gurule (10-1) motivated to maintain near-perfect record; Aguilar (11-3) looking to rebound and prove knockout resilience after previous hard fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jesus Santos Aguilar: +170, Luis Gurule: -205 Luis Gurule ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Jesus Santos Aguilar +3.5: -125, Luis Gurule -3.5: -105 Luis Gurule -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -166, Under 2.5 rounds: +130 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Luis Gurule -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luis Gurule to win by decision

Predicted Score: Luis Gurule wins via decision (3 rounds)


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Carlos Diego Ferreira vs. Alex Hernandez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Alex Hernandez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Lightweight bout between Carlos Diego Ferreira and Alexander Hernandez with Ferreira as a slight favorite by odds. Hernandez is fighting at home in San Antonio, which could influence performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ferreira has shown more consistency in his recent performances, with several wins disrupting top contenders and good striking and grappling balance. Hernandez, while talented, has been less consistent and coming off some mixed results.
  • Neither fighter appears to have prior head-to-head matchups, making this fight a fresh contest without direct past data.
  • No significant injury reports have been noted for either fighter prior to the bout.
  • Hernandez fighting in his hometown of San Antonio could provide motivation and fan support, but Ferreira is experienced in handling hostile environments.
  • Hernandez is motivated to defend his home turf and make a statement in front of a home crowd, but Ferreira is motivated by climbing lightweight rankings and redemption after previous setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alex Hernandez: -105, Carlos Diego Ferreira: -115 Carlos Diego Ferreira ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Alex Hernandez +3.5: -195, Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5: 140 Carlos Diego Ferreira -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 2.5: -135, Under 2.5: 105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alex Hernandez 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Carlos Diego Ferreira to win by decision

Predicted Score: Carlos Diego Ferreira wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:50 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Fight Night Venue (unspecified)

Game Overview

Alessandro Costa is the strong favorite against Alden Coria based on recent form, odds history, and expert consensus. Costa's power and finishing ability have been demonstrated with early finishes highlighted in betting markets. Coria, while experienced, is positioned as the underdog with less probability of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Costa has maintained strong recent form with consistent winning odds movement indicating betting market confidence, including multiple early KO/TKO and submission finishes in round 1 available as prop odds.
  • No documented direct head-to-head fights between Alessandro Costa and Alden Coria, requiring reliance on form and general skill comparisons.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter that would materially affect performance or betting evaluation.
  • Sharp money movement has favored Alden Coria on some books, indicating value perception, but overall market consensus still heavily favors Costa.
  • Costa's position as a favored rising contender and motivation to establish dominance in UFC likely higher; Coria seeking to prove value as an underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Costa: -410, Coria: +320 Alessandro Costa ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Costa -3.5 (-195), Coria +3.5 (140) Alessandro Costa -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-115), Under 2.5 (-115) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alessandro Costa -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alessandro Costa to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Alessandro Costa wins by KO/TKO in Round 1


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Alice Pereira vs. Montserrat Rendon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Alice Pereira vs Montserrat Rendon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

UFC women's Bantamweight prelim fight between undefeated rising prospect Alice Pereira (5-0) and experienced contender Montserrat Rendon (6-1). Pereira is debuting in UFC showcasing high finishing rate, while Rendon is a seasoned competitor with one loss.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alice Pereira holds a perfect 5-0 record with a high KO finish rate (66.7%), showing aggressive striking and finishing ability. Montserrat Rendon is 6-1, more experienced but with a lower finish rate, often going to decision.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between Pereira and Rendon, making styles and form decisive.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter, both appear fully fit for the matchup.
  • Fight is at UFC prelims in San Antonio, neutral venue favoring neither. Pereira is making UFC debut which may add motivation.
  • Pereira highly motivated to impress in UFC debut, while Rendon aims to maintain rank and prove superiority over newcomer.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alice Pereira -148, Montserrat Rendon +124 Alice Pereira ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Alice Pereira -3.5 +150, Montserrat Rendon +3.5 -205 Montserrat Rendon +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 -280, Under 2.5 +210 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alice Pereira -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 120%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 57.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alice Pereira to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Alice Pereira wins by 2nd round KO


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Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rodrigo Sezinando vs Daniil Donchenko – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, UFC Noche Event

Game Overview

This Welterweight prelims bout at UFC Noche pits Rodrigo Sezinando (8-1) against Daniil Donchenko (11-2), both rising prospects with strong finishes. Donchenko is the betting favorite at -218 with more UFC experience, while Sezinando offers value at +180.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Donchenko has been in 13 professional fights (11-2), showing solid form and finishing ability; Sezinando has fewer bouts (9 with 8-1) but also impressive recent form with a strong grappling base.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups, making this fight unpredictable and reliant on stylistic analysis.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, both entering fight week healthy and prepared.
  • Fight occurs at a major UFC event in Las Vegas, favoring Donchenko who has previously fought on big cards; Sezinando may have slight jetlag or travel fatigue being Brazilian.
  • High stakes as this is the 'Ultimate Fighter' Season 33 Welterweight final, both fighters highly motivated to secure UFC contract and recognition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko: -218, Rodrigo Sezinando: +180 Daniil Donchenko ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Donchenko -1.5 rounds: +120, Sezinando +1.5 rounds: -140 Donchenko -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -166, Under 1.5 rounds: +130 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniil Donchenko -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pick Daniil Donchenko on the moneyline due to UFC experience and finishing ability; expect the fight to go under 1.5 rounds given both fighters' high finishing rates and early aggression.

Predicted Score: Donchenko wins by TKO in round 1


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Mateusz Strzelczyk vs. Emilio Quissua Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mateusz Strzelczyk vs Emilio Quissua – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Oktagon MMA Event Venue (exact location not specified)

Game Overview

This light heavyweight bout features Mateusz Strzelczyk, a powerful striker with reach advantage, against Emilio Quissua, a grappling specialist who aims to control the fight on the ground. Both fighters have experienced recent struggles with losses but exhibit contrasting styles that make this matchup intriguing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Strzelczyk shows strong recent striking form and power, aiming to keep the fight standing, while Quissua has solid grappling skills but both fighters face pressure from recent losses.
  • No previous head-to-head fights recorded between Strzelczyk and Quissua.
  • No publicly available injury reports for either fighter, indicating both are likely at full health.
  • Strzelczyk has home advantage with crowd support and venue familiarity, possibly providing psychological and morale boost.
  • Both fighters are motivated to halt recent losing streaks; Strzelczyk's home setting may boost motivation slightly higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Emilio Quissua: -280, Mateusz Strzelczyk: +185 Mateusz Strzelczyk ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Strzelczyk -1.5 rounds: +210, Quissua +1.5 rounds: -250 Quissua +1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emilio Quissua 71%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Emilio Quissua at 71% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mateusz Strzelczyk to win by knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Strzelczyk wins via TKO in round 2


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Edgar Delgado vs. Khalid Taha Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Edgar Delgado vs Khalid Taha – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Hannover, Germany

Game Overview

Oktagon 75 features a bantamweight/lightweight crossover bout between Edgar Delgado Jimenez and Khalid Taha. Delgado, older and heavier, brings striking precision and championship experience from Mexican Lux Fight League. Taha, younger, fighting at home in Germany, has strong grappling and resilience but potentially faces moral pressure. Both fighters have balanced finishing abilities in KO, submission, and decision outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Delgado is a 4-time champion with precise striking and finishing versatility, while Taha has a mixed record with KO, submission, and decision wins, showing endurance and grappling strength.
  • No prior direct matchups noted; comparative stats favor a close contest influenced by home advantage for Taha and slight size/weight advantage for Delgado.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Taha benefits from home crowd support and possibly biased judging in Germany; Delgado, the guest fighter, may face moral pressure and adverse judging.
  • Home advantage likely boosts Taha's motivation; Delgado's championship pedigree and experience provide strong professional drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Taha -125, Delgado +105 Khalid Taha ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Taha -3.5 (+150), Delgado +3.5 (-180) Khalid Taha -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-110), Under 2.5 rounds (-110) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Khalid Taha to win; Spread: Khalid Taha by -3.5 rounds; Over/Under: Fight goes over 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Taha wins by decision after 3 rounds


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