Match Analysis: Miami Hurricanes vs South Florida Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Game Overview
The No. 5 Miami Hurricanes (2-0) host the No. 18 South Florida Bulls (2-0) in a critical matchup with Miami favored by 17.5 points. Miami has shown dominance on defense and offense, averaging 36 points per game without turnovers, while South Florida is riding momentum from winning two straight against ranked opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami has beaten Bethune-Cookman 45-3 and Notre Dame narrowly, showing both offensive firepower and strong defense. South Florida won tightly against Florida 18-16, demonstrating resilience but less scoring ability.
- Historically, Miami dominates at home with 16 wins in their last 17 home games vs. South Florida. Recent H2H favors Miami's superior talent and experience.
- No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups significantly for either team.
- Game played at Miami's home stadium, Hard Rock Stadium, offering them crowd support and familiarity. The Bulls may face a challenging travel factor.
- South Florida is highly motivated to prove themselves against a top-5 team and keep their unbeaten streak; Miami seeks to affirm dominance in the ACC and maintain their top-5 status.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Miami -800, South Florida +550 | Miami Hurricanes | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Miami -17.5 -105, South Florida +17.5 -115 | South Florida Bulls +17.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Over/under | Over 57.5 -108, Under 57.5 -112 | Over 57.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Miami Hurricanes -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 57.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 57.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami Hurricanes to win outright and cover the spread appears unlikely given Miami's coach Cristobal's poor home favorite ATS record. The safest highest EV single outcome bet is Miami moneyline, though with a large favorite price. Over 57.5 points is also plausible given Miami's offense and South Florida's ability to score some points.
Predicted Score: Miami Hurricanes 38 – South Florida Bulls 21