Match Analysis: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas
Game Overview
Iowa State Cyclones enter as heavy favorites against Arkansas State Red Wolves, who have shown inconsistencies early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Iowa State is undefeated at 3-0, with a strong defensive showing allowing 20.5 points per game, and a balanced offense led by QB Rocco Becht. Arkansas State is 1-1, recently suffering a heavy loss (56-14) to Arkansas Razorbacks.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited; Iowa State's higher ranking and confidence from recent wins against quality opponents gives them a strong mental edge.
- No significant injuries reported for either team that would majorly affect game outcome.
- Game played at Arkansas Stateβs home venue with 92Β°F and no rain, which may slightly favor the home team, but likely minimal impact given Iowa Stateβs form.
- Iowa State, ranked No. 14, motivated to maintain unbeaten streak and build momentum for tougher upcoming matches; Arkansas State aims to bounce back but faces steep odds.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +850, away: -1450 | Iowa State Cyclones | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | home: -105, away: -115 | Iowa State -20.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | over: -112, under: -108 | Under 55.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Iowa State Cyclones -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 55.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 55.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Iowa State to win, cover the spread, and the total points to go under 55.5
Predicted Score: Iowa State thirty-four – Arkansas State eleven