Match Analysis: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Richmond Spiders – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Game Overview
North Carolina Tar Heels and Richmond Spiders both enter Week 3 with 1-1 records, facing off in Chapel Hill. UNC is heavily favored, with a strong historical edge and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- UNC has shown solid but not dominant form, splitting their first two games. Richmond is also 1-1 but has less recent success against UNC historically.
- UNC leads the all-time series 12-2. The last meeting was in 1978, with Richmond winning that game, but UNC has generally dominated historically.
- No significant injury reports impacting starters from either team are currently noted, implying both squads should be near full strength.
- Weather is projected to be ideal football conditions: 78Β°F at kickoff with light 8 MPH winds, no rain expected.
- UNC aims to build momentum ahead of tougher ACC games, including Clemson. Richmond seeks to upset a Power Five conference foe, providing some underdog motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | North Carolina Tar Heels: -3000, Richmond Spiders: 1200 | North Carolina Tar Heels | β β β β β 88% |
Spread | North Carolina Tar Heels -21.5: -115, Richmond Spiders +21.5: -105 | North Carolina Tar Heels -21.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -105 | Under 46.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | North Carolina Tar Heels -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 46.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
North Carolina Tar Heels moneyline; UNC to cover -21.5 spread; Under 46.5 points total
Predicted Score: North Carolina Tar Heels 28 – Richmond Spiders 14