Match Analysis: North Texas Mean Green vs Washington State Cougars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: DATCU Stadium, Denton, Texas
Game Overview
Both North Texas Mean Green and Washington State Cougars enter the game undefeated at 2-0. North Texas has shown strong offensive output with a 51-0 blowout and a close 33-30 win, while Washington State has allowed fewer points defensively in their recent 36-13 victory. The game is expected to be competitive with a moderately high total points projection.
Key Factors to Consider
- North Texas averages 48 points per game with balanced passing and rushing offense, holding opponents to 15 points per game. Washington State averages 24.5 points per game, excels defensively allowing only 11.5 points per game, and relies more on passing yards. Washington State has struggled to cover recent spreads, while North Texas is strong at home as favorites.
- Limited recent direct matchups; no recent H2H data strongly favors either side. North Texas home advantage and recent form against similar opponents give them the edge in this matchup.
- No significant injury reports available for either team, so both teams are presumed healthy.
- Game played at North Texas home stadium; travel and hostile environment may slightly favor the Mean Green. Weather is expected to be typical for Denton, Texas in September, unlikely to impact play significantly.
- Both teams 2-0, early season momentum is important. North Texas looks to maintain home dominance and continue strong offensive performances. Washington State aims to establish themselves as top contenders and prove oddsmakers wrong despite underdog status.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -230, away: +190 | North Texas Mean Green | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | home: -108, away: -112 | North Texas -6 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | over: -115, under: -105 | Over 58.5 | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | North Texas Mean Green 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 58.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 58.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
North Texas Mean Green to cover the 6-point spread and win the game outright, with the total going over 58.5 points.
Predicted Score: North Texas Mean Green 35 – Washington State Cougars 26