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Grêmio vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Grêmio Home Stadium

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Mirassol in a Brazilian Campeonato clash featuring two teams with contrasting recent forms and injury challenges. Grêmio has struggled to maintain consistency at home, while Mirassol demonstrated stronger overall form this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has 6 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses this season with a -6 goal difference, struggling defensively at home. Mirassol holds a better record with 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses and +10 goal difference, showing resilience especially on the road.
  • Recent H2H favors Mirassol, who won 4-1 at home earlier this year and have been generally more successful in past encounters this season.
  • Grêmio faces key absences including midfielders Villasanti (season out), Camilo (muscle injury), and Balbuena (broken ankle). Mirassol has less critical injury concerns, giving them an edge in squad depth and fitness.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel disruptions reported; Grêmio plays at home but their recent home form is weak.
  • Mirassol motivated to consolidate higher league standing while Grêmio fights to distance themselves from relegation-threatened positions, potentially increasing pressure on home side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio +129, Mirassol +230, Draw +205 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Grêmio -0.25 -105, Mirassol +25 -115 Mirassol +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 39%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Grêmio vs. Mirassol Prediction

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Mirassol – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 7:00 PM UTC Location: Grêmio Home Stadium Game Overview Grêmio hosts Mirassol in a Brazilian Campeonato clash featuring two teams with contrasting recent forms and injury challenges. Grêmio has struggled to maintain consistency at home, while Mirassol demonstrated stronger overall form this season. […]

Grêmio Mirassol September 13, 2025 Soccer

MORE FROM BRAZIL-SERIE-A

Fortaleza vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

Game Overview

Fortaleza hosts Vitoria in a low-stakes relegation battle with both teams struggling offensively and defensively in the Brasileirão Serie A. Fortaleza is lower in the table and has poor form but benefits from home advantage, while Vitoria has slightly better overall form yet defensive issues away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has 3 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses so far, with 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Vitoria has a slightly better record with 4 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.8 per game. Both have low scoring outputs and have shown defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent encounters show close contests with draws and narrow wins; historical H2H data indicates no clear dominance, reflecting the balanced competitive nature between the two sides, emphasizing a tightly contested match.
  • No major injury news reported for either team affecting key starters, indicating lineups will likely be near full strength.
  • Home advantage significant for Fortaleza, historically home teams win 41.5% of Serie A matches. The match venue favors Fortaleza’s possession style, with expected control of the game flow.
  • Both teams fight to avoid relegation with closely packed points near the bottom; Fortaleza’s slightly worse standing creates pressure to secure points at home, while Vitoria aims to maintain its marginally better position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: -118, Vitoria: 350, Draw: 230 Fortaleza ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fortaleza -0.5 -118, Vitoria +50 -102 Fortaleza -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fortaleza moneyline win, Fortaleza -0.5 spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Internacional vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Internacional hosts Fortaleza in a Brazilian Serie A match where Internacional is the clear favorite given home advantage, superior recent form, and favorable odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional shows stronger recent form, winning more matches and frequently scoring over 2.5 goals, whereas Fortaleza struggles for wins and goals.
  • Recent encounters favor Internacional with a dominant record and more consistent performances.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key players for either side, maintaining usual lineups.
  • Match at home in Porto Alegre gives Internacional a strong crowd support and home-field advantage; no adverse weather or travel issues reported.
  • Internacional motivated to consolidate position in the standings, Fortaleza aims to salvage points but is underdog mentally and statistically.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Internacional -172, Draw +285, Fortaleza +475 Internacional ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Internacional -0.75 -130, Fortaleza +75 +110 Internacional -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 -125, Under 2.25 +105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Internacional to win on the moneyline, covering a -0.75 goal spread, with a moderately low-scoring game under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Sport Recife vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sport Recife Home Stadium

Game Overview

A Campeonato Brasileiro clash where Sport Recife hosts Vasco da Gama. Vasco has a stronger recent head-to-head record but will play away. Both teams show balanced form with slight edge to Vasco historically, though Sport Recife has home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has won 6 of the last 10 encounters versus Sport Recife's 1, with 3 draws. Recent form of both teams in the season is fairly even, but Vasco have demonstrated better consistency on the road.
  • In last 10 meetings, Vasco won 6, Sport Recife won 1, draws 3. Matches tend to be competitive but with Vasco edging out.
  • No significant reported injuries impacting key players for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength starting lineups.
  • Playing at home gives Sport Recife advantage in crowd support and familiarity. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical for season, no abnormalities.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain points as mid-table positioning is competitive. Vasco may have slightly higher motivation historically due to better recent results and desire to maintain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 130 Sport Recife ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread 100 Sport Recife -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sport Recife 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sport Recife at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sport Recife win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Vitoria vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Vitoria Home Stadium

Game Overview

Vitoria hosts Atletico Mineiro in a tightly contested Brasileirão Serie A match late in the season, with both teams fighting for points to improve their standings. Vitoria is lower in the table, whereas Atletico Mineiro, despite a negative goal difference, ranks higher. Recent form shows a defensive struggle and low scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitoria holds 19 points from 21 games with a poor goal difference (-14) and relatively weak winning form (3W-10D-8L). Atletico Mineiro is slightly better placed with 24 points in 19 games and a less negative goal difference (-3). Both teams have similar struggles in scoring and concede frequently, reflecting cautious playstyles.
  • Prior H2H results have been balanced with a tendency towards draws. Historical results indicate a close matchup with no clear dominance by either side.
  • No specific injury data available from provided sources; assume no significant absences impacting lineup strength.
  • Match is played at Vitoria’s home ground, potentially offering them a slight boost. No noted weather or travel issues affecting performance.
  • Vitoria appears motivated to capitalize on home advantage to climb out of the relegation zone. Atletico Mineiro seeks to solidify their mid-table standing and avoid further slip-down.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline atletico_mineiro: +170, vitoria: +185, draw: +193 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread atletico_mineiro_0: -115, vitoria_0: -105 Vitoria 0 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over_2: -112, under_2: -108 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Corinthians vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Corinthians Home Stadium

Game Overview

Palmeiras are the stronger side currently, sitting 2nd in the league with 42 points from 19 matches, while Corinthians are 11th with 25 points from 21 matches. Palmeiras have better recent form and a positive goal difference, indicating they are favorites heading into this match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras have won 13 of 19 matches, with a +12 goal difference and strong away performance, while Corinthians have struggled recently with 6 wins in 21 matches and a -5 goal difference. Corinthians' home form shows more draws/losses and lower scoring.
  • Recent head-to-head results favor Palmeiras, who have a higher overall win percentage and generally dominate the fixture. Historically, Palmeiras have had more success in this matchup.
  • No specific injury reports were found from available data, so it is assumed both teams are near full strength.
  • No notable external factors such as weather or travel fatigue impacting the match. The venue is Corinthians' home ground but Palmeiras’ away form remains strong.
  • Palmeiras are highly motivated to maintain their league position and challenge for the title. Corinthians, mid-table with less at stake, lack the same urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 225 / 136 / 200 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Corinthians +25 -122, Palmeiras -0.25 +102 Palmeiras -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -108 / Under 2 -112 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 18%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras moneyline

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Mirassol vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Mirassol home stadium

Game Overview

This Brazil Serie A match features Mirassol hosting Bahia. Both teams have shown relatively balanced recent form, but Mirassol enjoys home advantage. The match is expected to be close and competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has a slight edge in recent games with better home form, showing sharper attacking transitions. Bahia has struggled to find consistency away from home, with a mediocre recent run.
  • The historical head-to-head between these teams is fairly balanced, with no dominant winner. Past meetings suggest close scorelines with a tendency for draws and low-margin wins.
  • No major injury concerns reported affecting key starters on either side, enabling both teams to play their usual XI.
  • No significant weather or travel issues expected. Scheduling and logistics seem normal with standard rest periods.
  • Both sides are motivated to gain points due to mid-table standings and the fight to improve league position. Home advantage gives Mirassol additional incentive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol +128, Bahia +220, Draw +220 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mirassol -0.25 -105, Bahia +25 -115 Mirassol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 -122, Under 2.25 +102 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Santos vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santos vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Santos home stadium

Game Overview

This Brasileirão Serie A match features a mid-to-lower table Santos (15th place, 21 points) hosting Fluminense, who are mid-table (9th place, 27 points). Both teams have to push for points as Fluminense aims to climb further up the standings while Santos tries to avoid the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense has a slightly better recent form and position with 8 wins in 19 matches versus Santos' 6 wins in 20 matches. Santos has struggled with a -11 goal difference compared to Fluminense's -3.
  • Recent head-to-head favors Fluminense with a higher probability to win (46.86%) compared to Santos (34.94%) and a lower draw chance (18.2%).
  • No significant absentees reported for either side that would drastically affect starting lineups.
  • No notable external conditions (weather, travel issues) affect the match. Home advantage slightly favors Santos.
  • Fluminense motivated to improve their standing; Santos fighting relegation, adding competitive tension.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: 212, Santos: 131, Draw: 220 Fluminense ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Fluminense: -0.25 -120, Santos: +25 100 Santos -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 +105 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 47%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline; Santos to cover the -0.25 spread; Over 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Flamengo vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do Maracana

Game Overview

Flamengo hosts Grêmio in the 22nd round of the Brazilian Serie A at Estadio do Maracana. Flamengo is in strong form at home with a potent offense and a tight defense, while Grêmio shows significantly weaker away stats and less scoring ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches and kept the most clean sheets in the league (12). They average 2.3 goals per home game and concede only 0.47. Grêmio has scored 5 goals in the last 5 matches and averages just 1.0 goals per away match while having a weaker defensive record.
  • Historically, Flamengo leads with 22 wins vs 16 for Grêmio in 48 meetings. Recent form shows Flamengo winning 4/5, with strong defensive and offensive stats. The teams have had generally tight scoring affairs with Flamengo slightly dominant.
  • No significant injuries reported for Flamengo or Grêmio that strongly impact starting lineups or key players at this time.
  • Match played at Flamengo's home stadium, Maracana, known for strong home support and intimidating atmosphere for visitors. Scheduled kick-off favors teams well-prepared in the early evening.
  • Flamengo, fighting for a top league position, shows high motivation. Grêmio struggles on the road and is likely motivated to reduce the gap but is underdogs here.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -400, Grêmio: 1000, Draw: 460 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Flamengo -1.5: -120, Grêmio +1.5: 100 Flamengo -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122 Under 2.75 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win the match outright with a clean sheet and a relatively low scoring game under 2.75 total goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Cruzeiro vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Sao Paulo in a crucial Brasileirão Série A match. Cruzeiro is currently 3rd with 41 points and strong home form, while Sao Paulo is 7th with 32 points but coming off a recent win. Both teams have motivation to secure a positive result to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro shows strong home stats with 8 wins in 11 matches, averaging 2.82 goals and conceding 0.82 at home. Sao Paulo has inconsistent away form, with only 2 wins in 10 away games. Cruzeiro’s defense is solid, conceding only 15 goals in 21 games overall.
  • Historical matchups are competitive, with no clear dominance. Probability models and recent form slightly favor Cruzeiro at home with a 34.3% win probability versus Sao Paulo's 33%. Draw chances stand around 32-33%.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups for either side.
  • Game played at Cruzeiro’s home stadium provides home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal without impacting play significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated; Cruzeiro aims to maintain top 3 placement while Sao Paulo pushes to climb for continental qualification. Recent wins for both sides add competitive edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -124, away: 385, draw: 241 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cruzeiro: -0.5 -123, Sao Paulo: +50 -107 Cruzeiro -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over: -111, Under: -115 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Cruzeiro win; Spread: Cruzeiro -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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