Match Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs South Alabama Jaguars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:45 PM UTC
- Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
Game Overview
The No. 24 Auburn Tigers (2-0) host the South Alabama Jaguars (1-1) for their first-ever meeting. Auburn enters as a dominant favorite following strong performances, including a 42-3 win over Ball State and a 38-24 win over Baylor, showcasing balanced offensive productivity and stout defense. South Alabama, coming off a narrow 33-31 loss to Tulane and a solid opening win, poses moderate offensive threats but has yet to prove competitive against top-tier opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Auburn averages around 40 points per game with nearly 190 passing yards and over 260 rushing yards, while allowing just 13.5 points per game. South Alabama averages 34.5 points with balanced rushing and passing but allows 27 points per game. Auburn's defense was historically dominant recently, allowing only 68 total yards against Ball State, the lowest since 1985.
- This is the first meeting ever between Auburn Tigers and South Alabama Jaguars.
- Auburn is missing RB Durell Robinson (thigh) and CB Champ Anthony (thumb), with RB Damari Alston questionable (shoulder). South Alabama reports no significant injuries.
- Game to be played in Auburn with sunny weather and highs in the 80s. Auburn has strong home-field advantage at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The game will be televised on SEC Network with experienced announcers.
- Auburn is motivated to maintain undefeated status and SEC reputation, while South Alabama aims to prove themselves against a ranked opponent, though motivation alone unlikely to overcome the talent gap.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Auburn: -3200, South Alabama: +1400 | Auburn Tigers | β β β β β 88% |
Spread | Auburn: -24.5 -112, South Alabama: +24.5 -108 | Auburn Tigers -24.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over: 55.5 -105, Under: 55.5 -115 | Over 55.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Auburn Tigers -9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 55.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Auburn to win decisively and cover the large spread. Total points expected to exceed the line set by sportsbooks.
Predicted Score: Auburn 38 – South Alabama 21