Match Analysis: West Ham United vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: London Stadium
Game Overview
A tightly contested East London derby featuring West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur, with Tottenham favored but West Ham showing signs of recovery at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tottenham started the season strongly with wins over Burnley and Man City but had a recent home loss to Bournemouth. West Ham had a poor start with losses to Sunderland and Chelsea but bounced back against Nottingham Forest. Both teams are close in the table with only three points difference.
- West Ham have won only one of their last seven meetings against Tottenham, who are undefeated in their last five league visits to London Stadium, suggesting Tottenhamβs historical dominance in this fixture.
- Tottenham are missing Yves Bissouma (undisclosed) and recently signed Simons is not expected to impact yet. West Ham has no major reported absences but defensive lineups remain to be confirmed.
- The match will be played at West Hamβs home ground, London Stadium, which provides a home advantage. Match kickoff is in the early evening UK time with good weather expected and no significant external disruptions reported.
- West Ham is motivated to continue their recovery at home after a poor start, while Tottenham aims to respond strongly following the recent surprise home defeat to Bournemouth.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tottenham +109, West Ham +228, Draw +248 | Tottenham Hotspur | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Tottenham -0.5 +105, West Ham +50 -140 | Tottenham -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -138, Under 2.5 +104 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tottenham Hotspur 9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham Hotspur moneyline win based on form, head-to-head advantage, and better squad depth.
Predicted Score: 1-2