Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Wisconsin Badgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Game Overview
Alabama Crimson Tide (1-1) hosts the Wisconsin Badgers (2-0) in a Week 3 NCAA College Football matchup. Alabama enters as a strong favorite with a dominant spread of -20.5 and moneyline odds reflecting heavy public and bookmaker confidence. Wisconsin has started the season undefeated and is motivated to maintain their momentum but is a significant underdog playing on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alabama's offense exploded in their last game with a 73-0 win, demonstrating high scoring potential, while Wisconsin won their last game 42-10, showing solid form. Alabama is 1-1 in recent games and against the spread, whereas Wisconsin is 2-0 straight-up and 1-1 ATS this season.
- Recent head-to-head data shows Alabama typically dominates Wisconsin at home with large margins, reinforcing Alabama's strong position on the spread.
- No major injuries reported affecting key starters on either team.
- Game played at Bryant-Denny Stadium with favorable weather (83Β°F, no rain) and minimal wind, supporting offensive productivity.
- Wisconsin is motivated as a 2-0 underdog to prove themselves, but Alabama, with prestige and fan expectations, looks to firmly reassert dominance at home after a mixed start.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Alabama -1600, Wisconsin +900 | Alabama | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Alabama -20.5 (-112), Wisconsin +20.5 (-108) | Alabama -20.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | Over 46.5 -108, Under 46.5 -112 | Over 46.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Alabama Crimson Tide -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 46.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alabama to win straight up and cover the -20.5 point spread, with the total game score going over 46.5 points.
Predicted Score: Alabama 38, Wisconsin 15