Match Analysis: Michigan Wolverines vs Central Michigan Chippewas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan
Game Overview
The Michigan Wolverines (1-1, ranked No. 23) host the Central Michigan Chippewas (1-1) in a heavily one-sided contest. Michigan is a dominant favorite with a large 27.5-point spread and a very strong moneyline advantage, reflecting a gap in team quality and performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michigan has been solid but struggled against a top opponent recently (lost 24-13 to Oklahoma). Central Michigan lost 45-17 to Pittsburgh, indicating struggles on both sides but especially for the Chippewas' defense.
- No recent notable head-to-head data indicating Central Michigan can keep this game close given Michigan's superior roster and home advantage.
- No critical injury updates that drastically affect Michiganβs starting lineup, maintaining their usual strength. Central Michiganβs roster remains intact but lacks depth.
- Michigan plays at home in a large stadium, offering a strong home-field advantage; no adverse weather conditions expected affecting gameplay.
- Michigan is motivated to rebound after a recent loss and avoid an 0-2 start against Power Five opposition, while Central Michigan is the underdog with less to play for other than experience and pride.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -4000, away: +1600 | Michigan Wolverines | β β β β β 90% |
Spread | home: -112, away: -108 | Michigan Wolverines -27.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | over: -108, under: -112 | Under 42.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Michigan Wolverines -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 42.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 42.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Michigan wins comfortably and covers the 27.5-point spread with a total point score under 42.5 points given Michigan's recent lower-scoring output and Central Michigan's offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Michigan Wolverines 31 – Central Michigan Chippewas 10