Match Analysis: Richard Kallos vs Tom Wright – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Newcastle, Cage Warriors 193
Game Overview
Bantamweight MMA bout between Richard Kallos and Tom Wright at Cage Warriors 193. Both fighters are experienced with similar physical stats; fight scheduled for 13 September 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Richard Kallos has a record of 4-2 with 4 submission wins and 1 KO/TKO loss, showing strong grappling. Tom Wright is 2-2 with a balanced KO/TKO and submission wins, but less overall experience and recent form is split.
- No direct H2H records available, but Kallos has more wins overall and a higher finishing rate via submission.
- No reported current injuries for either fighter.
- Fight is at a neutral venue, Newcastle; no home advantage. Both fighters weigh similarly with slight weight advantage to Wright.
- Kallos, with a better career record, looks motivated to maintain winning momentum; Wright needs a win to stabilize his record.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Richard Kallos: +145, Tom Wright: -190 | Tom Wright | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | Tom Wright -1.5 rounds: -135, Richard Kallos +1.5 rounds: +115 | Tom Wright -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tom Wright -11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Wright at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tom Wright to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Tom Wright wins by decision after full 3 rounds