Match Analysis: Estoril vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Game Overview
Estoril hosts AVS Futebol SAD in a crucial early season Primeira Liga match where both teams have struggled, with Estoril slightly favored to secure their first win.
Key Factors to Consider
- Estoril sits 15th with 2 points from 4 games and 5 goals scored, while AVS is bottom at 17th with 1 point and 3 goals, both showing weak offensive outputs so far this season.
- Estoril has a dominant recent record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings including a 3-0 victory in their last encounter on 04/04/2025, indicating psychological and tactical advantage.
- No notable injury information affecting key players on either side was found, suggesting both teams should field near full-strength lineups.
- Estoril enjoys home advantage at Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, which could be vital considering both teams' low form and defensive fragility.
- Estoril is more motivated to break their winless streak and move off the relegation zone, while bottom-placed AVS faces pressure but lacks recent positive momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -121 | Estoril Win | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | -120 | Estoril -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | -118 | Under 2.25 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Estoril 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Home Moneyline Win for Estoril
Predicted Score: 2-0