Match Analysis: Bournemouth vs Brighton and Hove Albion – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Vitality Stadium
Game Overview
A closely contested Premier League match between Bournemouth and Brighton, with Bournemouth slightly favored at home but Brighton showing strong recent dominance in head-to-head. Both teams have mixed form and injury considerations, making tactical execution and motivation key factors.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bournemouth currently hold 6 points from 3 games, positioned 7th, showing balanced attack and defense. Brighton have 4 points, struggling to convert chances but historically perform well against Bournemouth.
- Brighton have won 5 of their last 6 league meetings against Bournemouth, indicating a psychological and tactical edge in this matchup.
- No specific critical injuries reported for either team, suggesting largely full-strength lineups.
- Home advantage to Bournemouth at Vitality Stadium; no significant weather or travel concerns impacting either side.
- Brighton need to bounce back after slower start and have motivation to maintain historical dominance over Bournemouth, while Bournemouth aim to consolidate their good start against a difficult opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bournemouth: 140, Brighton: 175, Draw: 246 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Bournemouth -0.5: 135, Brighton +50: -181 | Bournemouth -0.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -160, Under 2.5: 120 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 56% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 36% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw on moneyline, Bournemouth -0.5 on spread, Under 2.5 goals on over/under
Predicted Score: 1-1