Match Analysis: Wrexham AFC vs Queens Park Rangers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
Game Overview
Wrexham AFC hosts Queens Park Rangers in an EFL Championship clash with Wrexham aiming to secure their first home win this season against a QPR side with shaky defense but capable attack.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wrexham's form has been inconsistent but includes a recent strong away win at Millwall, showing potential to break through at home. QPR have mixed form, scoring well but conceding heavily, as seen in a recent 7-1 loss to Coventry.
- The teams have not met competitively since 2004, providing little recent direct history to rely on, increasing the importance of current form and squad dynamics.
- No significant injuries reported impacting starting lineups for either team, suggesting both squads will be near full strength.
- Playing at home in the Racecourse Ground provides Wrexham with familiar conditions and supportive fans, which could be a key advantage against travel-affected QPR.
- Wrexham are motivated to continue their unbeaten run and secure their first home win of the season, while QPR seek to recover from defensive frailties and avoid extending their poor away form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -112, draw: 240, away: 280 | Wrexham AFC | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Wrexham AFC -0.5: -108, Queens Park Rangers +50: -112 | Wrexham AFC -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over 2.5: -110, under 2.5: -110 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Wrexham AFC 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wrexham AFC to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: 2-1