Match Analysis: Fulham vs Leeds United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Craven Cottage
Game Overview
Fulham and Leeds United meet at Craven Cottage with Fulham struggling near the relegation zone and Leeds sitting mid-table. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities, though Fulham has home advantage and a recent edge in direct encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Fulham is 18th with 2 points from a slow start, showing defensive and scoring weaknesses. Leeds is 12th with 4 points, more stable but still inconsistent especially on the road.
- Fulham has had dominance in recent home fixtures against Leeds, often securing wins. Leeds has struggled historically against Fulham away.
- No major injury news currently impacting either team significantly noted in available sources.
- Fulhamβs home pitch (Craven Cottage) is known to give them an edge, particularly against Leeds. Weather and travel factors are standard with no notable disruptions.
- Fulham is highly motivated to secure points to escape relegation pressure, while Leeds aims to consolidate mid-table standing but may be less urgent.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Fulham: -107, Leeds United: 280, Draw: 244 | Fulham | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Fulham -0.5: -109, Leeds +50: -121 | Fulham -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -130 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Fulham -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fulham to win on the moneyline, Fulham to cover -0.5 goals spread, and Under 2.5 goals total
Predicted Score: 1-0