Match Analysis: FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: MEWA Arena, Mainz, Germany
Game Overview
This Bundesliga match features FSV Mainz 05 hosting RB Leipzig. Both teams have had a slow start to the season with Mainz sitting 13th and Leipzig 11th. The game is poised to be a close contest with Mainz aiming to capitalize on home advantage, while Leipzig looks to bounce back after mixed early results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mainz 05 have struggled for form with only 1 point from 2 matches, showing defensive resilience but lacking scoring efficiency. RB Leipzig have 3 points from 2 matches, showing strong mentality bouncing back from a heavy defeat with an effective attack led by Johan Bakayoko and Antonio Nusa.
- Recent head-to-head records slightly favor Mainz 05 at home, suggesting an ability to challenge Leipzig effectively on their turf.
- No major injury reports available indicating significant absences for either team, allowing both sides to field close to full strength.
- Home crowd support and atmosphere at MEWA Arena are expected to boost Mainz 05, while Leipzig may face travel fatigue but have Champions League experience contributing to mental strength.
- Both teams are motivated to improve early season standings with Mainz eager to avoid a poor start and Leipzig aiming to build momentum after a recent win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 162, away: 155, draw: 260 | Mainz 05 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Mainz 05 0: -105, RB Leipzig 0: -115 | Mainz 05 +0 (Draw No Bet) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | over_3: 102, under_3: -122 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FSV Mainz 05 18% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: FSV Mainz 05 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mainz 05 to win
Predicted Score: 2-1