Match Analysis: 1. FC Heidenheim vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Voith-Arena
Game Overview
1. FC Heidenheim, newly promoted, is struggling with no points early in the season and defensive vulnerabilities, while Borussia Dortmund is in strong form, unbeaten so far and boasting a potent attack. Dortmund aims to extend their unbeaten run and capitalize on Heidenheim's defensive issues.
Key Factors to Consider
- Heidenheim has lost their first two league matches this season, conceding heavily and failing to secure points. Borussia Dortmund started strong with wins and a draw but showed occasional defensive lapses. Dortmund’s offense has been productive, scoring multiple goals in recent matches.
- Recent direct confrontations favor Borussia Dortmund clearly, with Dortmund consistently outperforming Heidenheim. Historical data indicates Dortmund’s tactical superiority and scoring edge over Heidenheim.
- Heidenheim's key absences include Haktab Omar Traore and Felix Nmecha, weakening their defensive and midfield lines. Dortmund is largely fit with only minor fitness concerns but no major missing starters impacting their core strength.
- Match played at Heidenheim's home ground (Voith-Arena) which might provide some home support, but crowd impact is tempered by Heidenheim's current poor form. Weather and pitch conditions are not expected to significantly affect the match outcome.
- Heidenheim is under pressure to avoid a third straight loss and find first points, potentially motivating aggressive and high-press tactics. Dortmund seeks to maintain unbeaten status and build momentum in their title chase, showing strong motivation for a confident road win.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +435, away: -183, draw: +355 | Borussia Dortmund | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | home: -105, away: -115 | Borussia Dortmund -1 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | over: -102, under: -118 | Over 3.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.25 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Borussia Dortmund to win outright with a -1 goal spread and over 3.25 total goals
Predicted Score: 1-3