Match Analysis: VfL Wolfsburg vs TSG Hoffenheim – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Volkswagen Arena
Game Overview
The upcoming Bundesliga match features VfL Wolfsburg hosting TSG Hoffenheim. Wolfsburg has struggled at home this season with no home wins, while Hoffenheim shows mixed form but has secured three away wins. Historically, Wolfsburg has a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, winning about half of their recent matches against Hoffenheim. Both teams have moderate recent form, with Hoffenheim scoring and conceding more goals per match than Wolfsburg.
Key Factors to Consider
- VfL Wolfsburg has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 of their last 5 games with an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceding 2.2. TSG Hoffenheim has won 3, drawn 1, and lost 1 in their last 5 with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Wolfsburg's home form is notably poor, with no wins in 4 home Bundesliga games this season.
- Out of 37 matches since 2008, Wolfsburg has 18 wins, Hoffenheim 10, with 8 draws. The last six meetings have been split evenly with Wolfsburg winning 50%. The teams tend to see over 2.5 goals in two-thirds of their past meetings.
- No specific injury information was available in the current data. Injury impact is therefore uncertain and should be monitored close to matchday.
- The match is at Wolfsburg's Volkswagen Arena, where they have not won this season, potentially affecting confidence. Hoffenheim’s better road form may influence momentum. No weather or other external factors were reported.
- Both teams have incentives to improve standings in the Bundesliga mid-table; Wolfsburg may be motivated to end their home winless streak versus Hoffenheim, who aim to continue positive away results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | TSG Hoffenheim: 138, VfL Wolfsburg: 176, Draw: 270 | TSG Hoffenheim to win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | TSG Hoffenheim: -128, VfL Wolfsburg: 108 | TSG Hoffenheim on the spread (0) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | TSG Hoffenheim 21% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: TSG Hoffenheim at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Wolfsburg's poor home form and Hoffenheim's recent winning momentum, the prediction favors a Hoffenheim win or at least a draw. Expect a relatively high-scoring game due to defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Predicted Score: 1-2