Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse, France
Game Overview
Toulouse (9th, 14 points) hosts Le Havre (11th, 12 points) in a mid-table Ligue 1 clash. Both teams are coming off positive results but have shown inconsistencies this season. With only 2 points separating them in the table, this match is crucial for both clubs' European and relegation prospects[2][3].
Key Factors to Consider
- Toulouse is marginally higher in the standings but only two points ahead of Le Havre. Both teams have struggled for consistency, with Toulouse showing more attacking intent at home, while Le Havre has a tendency to be more defensive on the road[2]. Recent performances are similar: both earned points in their last games, but neither has been dominant against stronger opposition this season[3].
- No detailed recent head-to-head data available in the provided results. Historically, both clubs have had competitive encounters, but home advantage often plays a significant role in French football.
- No specific injury data is available from the provided results. This remains a key wildcard for both teams, as squad depth could determine the outcome.
- No weather alerts or travel disruption reports in the provided results. The match is being played in a modern, indoor stadium, minimizing weather impact. Toulouse enjoys strong home support, potentially giving them a slight edge in pressure situations.
- Both teams are tightly packed in mid-table, making this a crucial game for moving toward the top half. Expect a competitive, possibly cagey match, as neither can afford to lose ground very early in the season[2].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Le Havre: 365, Toulouse: -134, Draw: 260 | Toulouse is the moneyline favorite; a home win is slightly more likely than a draw or away victory. Le Havreβs high moneyline odds reflect their lower chance of winning outright. | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toulouse 123% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Toulouse at 123% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A close match is expected, with Toulouse slightly favored due to home advantage and higher league position. The game may be decided by fine margins or a moment of individual quality, but a low-scoring affair is likely, given both teams' cautious approaches.
Predicted Score: 1-0 Toulouse