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New Zealand Warriors vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Australia (Home ground of Penrith Panthers)

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors face a daunting challenge visiting the Penrith Panthers, who have dominated this season and hold a significant home advantage. Despite the Warriors' resilience and occasional upset potential, Penrith's form and depth put them as strong favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers exhibit dominant recent form, consistently winning with strong margin averages, while the New Zealand Warriors have shown sporadic performance with inconsistent results, particularly away from home.
  • Head to head history favors Penrith with a majority of wins in recent NRL encounters. Warriors have managed only occasional competitive performances but lack consistency against Panthers’ tactical style.
  • Penrith Panthers report minimal key injuries allowing a near full-strength squad; New Zealand Warriors have minor injury concerns impacting depth, reducing their ability to sustain pressure over four quarters.
  • Playing in Australia with home crowd support benefits Penrith Panthers. Weather and field conditions are expected to be stable, not favoring the underdog.
  • Penrith Panthers push to solidify top ladder position and momentum into playoffs; Warriors aim to upset but face psychological and strategic pressure given recent losses against strong teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: +218, Penrith Panthers: -333 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread New Zealand Warriors +9.5: -120, Penrith Panthers -9.5: -120 Penrith Panthers -9.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 42.5: -120, Under 42.5: -120 Over 42.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 42.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 42.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win straight up with a convincing margin and a moderately high scoring game exceeding 42.5 points.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – New Zealand Warriors 14


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction

Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-13 Time: 6:05 AM UTC Location: Australia (Home ground of Penrith Panthers) Game Overview The New Zealand Warriors face a daunting challenge visiting the Penrith Panthers, who have dominated this season and hold a significant home advantage. Despite the Warriors' resilience and […]

New Zealand Warriors Penrith Panthers Rugbyleague September 13, 2025

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Melbourne Storm vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm host Canterbury Bulldogs in a crucial late-season NRL clash at AAMI Park. The Storm, known for their strong home form with a 76% win rate, seek to rebound from recent mixed results, while the Bulldogs aim to upset away despite a lower success rate at this venue.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have won 4 of their last 7 matches with recent defense improvements conceding just 20 points across last two games. Bulldogs have struggled on the road, managing only 4 wins against 7 losses at AAMI Park historically.
  • In their last meeting on August 22, 2025, Melbourne edged Canterbury 20-14 at home, indicating a tight contest but with Storm control. Historically, Storm dominate this fixture especially at home.
  • Melbourne is missing Shawn Blore but might get Ryan Papenhuyzen back from reserves, which could add attacking spark. Joe Chan and Bronson Garlick add depth. Bulldogs injury details are less transparent but no major key players flagged.
  • The Storm’s home crowd and environment at AAMI Park are significant advantages. Weather and pitch conditions are expected neutral with no external disruptions reported.
  • Melbourne Storm aim to strengthen a playoff positioning boost and reaffirm dominance at home. Bulldogs likely motivated as underdogs to spoil Storm’s campaign late in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: +175, Melbourne Storm: -205, Draw: +2000 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: +5.5 -115, Melbourne Storm: -5.5 -115 Melbourne Storm -5.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 37.5: -115, Under 37.5: -115 Under 37.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 37.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 37.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm moneyline win, covering the -5.5 spread and under 37.5 total points

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 22 – 14 Canterbury Bulldogs


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Parramatta Eels vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels, in strong form with recent wins over top teams and a confident lineup, face the struggling Newcastle Knights who are on an eight-game losing streak and have poor recent head-to-head results in Sydney.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels are in strong momentum with recent victories including against the Roosters and Warriors. Newcastle Knights have lost their last 8 games, showing defensive vulnerabilities and a late-season collapse.
  • The Eels have dominated recent matchups, winning 7 of the last 8 encounters, including all Sydney-based matches since 2018.
  • No major injuries reported for Parramatta; Dylan Brown returns bolstering the Eels' backline. Newcastle's injury details are minimal but their form decline suggests weakened squad depth.
  • CommBank Stadium favors Parramatta with home ground advantage and supportive crowd. No weather or other external conditions reported to impact play negatively.
  • Parramatta look motivated to finish the season strongly with a farewell game for Dylan Brown, while Newcastle are demoralized due to their long losing streak and poor playoff chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -435, Newcastle Knights +340, Draw +2500 Parramatta Eels ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Parramatta Eels -13.5 -115, Newcastle Knights +13.5 -115 Parramatta Eels -13.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 51.5 -125, Under 51.5 -105 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels moneyline win, covering the -13.5 spread and game total over 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Dolphins vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Kayo Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins face the Canberra Raiders in a crucial NRL Round 27 match with the Dolphins keen to secure a strong finals position and the Raiders resting key players after securing the minor premiership.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have the highest scoring attack in the NRL and have snapped a three-game losing streak with a recent win, boosted by the return of Herbie Farnworth. In contrast, the Raiders, already minor premiers, have rested many stars, fielding largely a second-string lineup.
  • Recent simulations give the Dolphins a 69% chance to win, supported by consistent favorite betting odds around $1.25 to $1.26 for the Dolphins, indicating confidence in their winning likelihood.
  • The Raiders have multiple key players rested, weakening their typical starting lineup. The Dolphins are relatively healthy with important returns such as Herbie Farnworth.
  • Playing at home in Kayo Stadium benefits the Dolphins. The timing provides them rest advantage while Canberra is focusing on preservation of players for finals.
  • The Dolphins have a high motivation to win to solidify finals hopes. The Raiders, having already secured minor premiership, are less motivated and prioritizing player rest.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -420, away: 315, draw: 2500 Dolphins ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -12.5 -115, away: +12.5 -115 Dolphins -12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: 53.5 -115, under: 53.5 -115 Over 53.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dolphins -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 53.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dolphins to win outright

Predicted Score: Dolphins 30 – Canberra Raiders 16


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

This Round 27 NRL match features a surging Canterbury Bulldogs side facing off against the consistent and finals-experienced Cronulla Sharks at Accor Stadium. The Bulldogs have shown remarkable improvement mid-season, while the Sharks bring their seasoned September campaign pedigree, setting up a tight contest expected to be decided by a narrow margin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have been improving significantly with confidence and momentum, while the Cronulla Sharks have maintained steady form with consistent, battle-hardened resilience suitable for finals pressure.
  • Recent past favors Bulldogs with a notable victory (20-6) earlier in 2025 at Shark Park. Power rankings position Bulldogs higher (5) compared to Sharks (10) with both teams possessing capable attacks but Bulldogs’ improved defensive structure tested against Sharks’ experience.
  • No major injury updates reported for either side affecting key players, implying near-full squads going into the match.
  • Playing at home in Accor Stadium gives Canterbury an edge due to home crowd support and familiarity with conditions. Weather and other external conditions are not expected to significantly impact gameplay.
  • Bulldogs are motivated by their mid-season resurgence and desire to cement finals contention, whereas Sharks are driven by their traditional September finals experience and steadiness in pressure matches.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -174, Cronulla Sharks +151, Draw +2000 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Bulldogs -4.5 (-110), Sharks +4.5 (-120) Bulldogs -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 44.5 (-113), Under 44.5 (-113) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win on moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the match to go over 44.5 points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 26 – 21 Cronulla Sharks


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The 2025 NRL Round 27 clash features the Gold Coast Titans hosting the Wests Tigers. Wests Tigers are slight favorites based on advanced simulations and current form, but the Titans have home ground advantage which could balance the contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wests Tigers hold a marginally better recent form with a 53% chance to win according to simulations. Titans have been competitive but inconsistent, with the home venue favoring them.
  • Historically, the teams are competitive; simulations and odds suggest a tight matchup with Tigers slightly ahead. Moneyline odds favor Tigers at -124, Titans at +105, indicating close contests in the past.
  • No major publicly reported injuries severely impacting either team at this time, implying both squads should field near full strength.
  • The game is played at the Titans’ home stadium, which traditionally enhances their performance due to crowd support and venue familiarity.
  • Late-season motivation is balanced; Tigers may push harder to consolidate standings, Titans aiming to defend home integrity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans +105, Wests Tigers -124, Draw +1900 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Gold Coast Titans +1.5 -110, Wests Tigers -1.5 -120 Gold Coast Titans +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 54.5 -115, Under 54.5 -115 Over 54.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Wests Tigers 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 54.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers to win outright on the moneyline with a close scoreline, covering the spread is less certain due to Titans' home ground advantage, total points likely to go over 54.5 considering offensive potentials.

Predicted Score: Wests Tigers 28 – Gold Coast Titans 26


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers are clear favorites with strong recent form and championship pedigree, but St George Illawarra Dragons have home ground advantage and potential for an upset at WIN Stadium. Expect a competitive, moderately scoring match with defensive intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panthers hold dominant season form with an 81% win probability according to advanced simulations, while Dragons have been inconsistent but can leverage home crowd and underdog motivation.
  • Panthers generally stronger historically, but Dragons have caused surprise upsets at WIN Stadium. Current power rankings favor Panthers (8) over Dragons (15).
  • No specific injury reports available; assume typical NRL fitness with slight edge to Panthers in squad depth.
  • Dragons play at home in Wollongong, a venue known for upsets which may provide intangible advantage. Panthers face travel and high expectations.
  • Dragons have high motivation to prove themselves and avoid a season-ending disappointment, while Panthers seek continuation of dominance and championship momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +410, away: -575, draw: +2500 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread panthers_minus_15_5: -120, dragons_plus_15_5: -110 Penrith Panthers -15.5 ★★★★☆ 77%
Over/under over_49_5: -115, under_49_5: -115 Under 49.5 points ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to win straight up with a convincing margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 12


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Sydney Roosters vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

Sydney Roosters and South Sydney Rabbitohs face off in Round 27 of the NRL at Allianz Stadium. The Roosters have been moderately inconsistent this season but possess a clear edge in recent form and head-to-head history. The Rabbitohs have struggled badly, especially in their last five games, with low motivation competing outside finals contention.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roosters hold a mid-table position (10th) with a 44% win rate and moderate recent form (WLWLL). Rabbitohs are low-ranked (17th) with a 32% win rate and have lost their last five games straight.
  • Historically close but favoring Roosters with 13 wins vs Rabbitohs 10 in 23 clashes. Recent analytics model simulation favors the Roosters with 83% win probability.
  • No explicit major injuries noted in current data, suggesting both teams likely fielding close to full strength.
  • Home advantage at Allianz Stadium benefits the Roosters; Rabbitohs show low motivation due to positioning outside finals qualification.
  • Roosters motivated to climb standings and secure finals berth; Rabbitohs essentially out of contention and on a losing streak, lowering morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Roosters -385, Rabbitohs +325, Draw +2200 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Roosters -12.5 (-105), Rabbitohs +12.5 (-125) Sydney Roosters -12.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 50.5 -145, Under 50.5 +110 Over 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters will win convincingly and cover the spread in a moderately high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the New Zealand Warriors in an NRL Round 27 clash at Lottoland. The Sea Eagles enter favored based on recent form and statistical models with expectations of a competitive match but a home victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have a strong recent form with a 62% predicted win chance per an independent machine learning model, whereas the Warriors have had some heavy losses including a 36-16 defeat to Manly earlier this season.
  • The Sea Eagles defeated the Warriors 36-16 in their last meeting in March 2025; historical data indicates Manly generally have the edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either team have been noted, suggesting both teams will be near full strength.
  • Playing at home in Sydney benefits Manly with crowd support and familiar conditions, while the Warriors must travel internationally.
  • With the season nearing the playoffs, the Sea Eagles aim to consolidate their position while the Warriors fight to stay competitive; Manly have slightly higher motivation given their stronger standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -190, Warriors +164, Draw +1900 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Manly -5.5 -115, Warriors +5.5 -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles moneyline win

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – New Zealand Warriors 18


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Brisbane Broncos vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-04
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Brisbane Broncos are hosting the Melbourne Storm in a late season NRL Round 27 matchup. Both teams have shown strong form, with the Broncos slightly favored at home to edge out the Storm in a competitive contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent analytics and simulations indicate the Broncos have a 56% chance of winning, leveraging strong home form and consistent scoring over recent games[1]. The Storm remain a solid opponent with a 44% chance, known for their tactical discipline and defensive strength.
  • Historically, matches at Suncorp Stadium see Brisbane with a slight edge over Melbourne, who have had mixed results away from home this season. The Broncos have capitalized on key moments in previous encounters to secure wins by narrow margins[1].
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would materially impact first-choice lineups, preserving typical strengths on both sides.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be stable and unlikely to influence game flow or scoring dynamics. Venue atmosphere favors Brisbane as the home crowd is known for strong support.
  • Both teams are motivated; Broncos are pushing for ladder positioning late in the season, while Melbourne Storm are aiming to maintain top-tier status and momentum into finals.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +100, away: -117, draw: +1900 Brisbane Broncos ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread home: -120, away: -110 Brisbane Broncos -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win on the moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread, with the game total going under 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 24 – Melbourne Storm 20


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