Match Analysis: Arizona Wildcats vs Kansas State Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-12
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
Game Overview
The game features the Arizona Wildcats (2-0) hosting the Kansas State Wildcats (1-2) in a closely matched Big 12 conference contest. Arizona is slight underdog by 1.5 points with a total of 54.5 points projected.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona is undefeated at 2-0 and has shown strong defensive metrics, allowing zero touchdowns so far in the season. Kansas State comes off a narrow 24-21 loss to Army and has struggled to win ATS all season.
- Arizona seeks revenge for last season's loss to Kansas State. Recent matchups have been competitive and close.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting key starters.
- Arizona has home advantage in Tucson, Arizona Stadium with prime-time FOX TV coverage enhancing motivation.
- Kansas State is under pressure to rebound from early losses and avoid a 1-3 start, while Arizona wants to maintain their unbeaten start and prove progress from last year's 4-8 finish.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats: +102, Kansas State Wildcats: -122 | Arizona Wildcats | β β β ββ 64% |
Spread | Arizona Wildcats +1.5: -105, Kansas State Wildcats -1.5: -115 | Arizona Wildcats +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 54.5: -105, Under 54.5: -115 | Under 54.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 54.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Arizona Wildcats at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Wildcats to cover the spread
Predicted Score: Arizona Wildcats 24 – Kansas State Wildcats 21