Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Elche CF – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-12
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Game Overview
Sevilla will host Elche CF in a La Liga match where Sevilla comes in as a strong home favorite due to superior recent form and squad quality.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sevilla has shown solid form at home this season with consistent point accumulation, whereas Elche struggles away with limited offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities.
- Historically, Sevilla dominates Elche in head-to-head matchups, often winning comfortably, especially on home soil.
- No major injuries reported for Sevilla impacting starting XI; Elche has some limited squad issues but nothing critical enough to shift odds significantly.
- Match is at Sevilla's home stadium, which favors them due to fan support and travel fatigue on Elche.
- Sevilla is motivated to maintain a strong start in La Liga to challenge for European places; Elche is aiming to avoid relegation pressure but likely not enough to overcome Sevilla.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sevilla: -101, Elche CF: 310, Draw: 225 | Sevilla | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | Sevilla -0.5: -102, Elche +50: -118 | Sevilla -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sevilla 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sevilla to win on the moneyline; Sevilla -0.5 spread; under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0