Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-11
- Time: 2:11 AM UTC
- Location: Dodger Stadium
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers, having a strong 81-64 record, host the struggling Colorado Rockies, who have a 40-105 record. The Dodgers' pitching and hitting depth combined with home advantage and recent form heavily favor them over the Rockies.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers show solid season stats with an 81-64 record, strong pitching (4.06 ERA) and hitting (.251 AVG, .328 OBP, .436 SLG), while Rockies suffer with one of the worst records (40-105), poor pitching (6.01 ERA) and weaker offense (.240 AVG, .297 OBP, .392 SLG). Dodgers have a 3-game winning streak and dominant home performance (47-26).
- Recent head-to-head favors Dodgers significantly with multiple wins and dominant scoring (7-2, 3-1 wins). Dodgers starters like Blake Snell have strong numbers against Rockies' Kyle Freeland, who struggles in these matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key hitters; both starters, Snell (Dodgers) and Freeland (Rockies), are confirmed starters.
- Game at Dodger Stadium favors Dodgers due to altitude and park factors disadvantaging Rockies pitchers. Weather and other extraneous factors appear neutral.
- Dodgers motivated for a playoff push and maintaining form against weaker opposition. Rockies are demoralized by a long losing season and recent losing streak, with less incentive.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Dodgers -330 / Rockies +265 | Dodgers | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Dodgers -1.5 -152 / Rockies +1.5 126 | Dodgers -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -110 / Under 8.5 -110 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Los Angeles Dodgers to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 runline spread, and the total runs to go over 8.5.
Predicted Score: Dodgers 6 – Rockies 3