Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-11
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Game Overview
NC State Wolfpack (2-0) visits Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-0) in a key ACC clash. Both teams are undefeated early in the season and bring dynamic offenses and solid defenses, creating a competitive matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- NC State boasts a balanced offense with QB CJ Bailey excelling in passing and rushing. The Wolfpack ground game averages 160.5 yards per game, and the defense allows 24 points per game. Wake Forest matches a 2-0 start but has shown a tendency toward lower-scoring games overall.
- The last 10 games show an even spread record at 5-5 and 5-5 straight up between these teams, with the total going under in all last 5 contests, indicating closely contested games with moderate scoring.
- No major injuries reported affecting key starters on either side, keeping both teams at near full strength.
- The game is played at Wake Forestβs home stadium, Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, giving them home field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be normal with no adverse factors.
- Both teams seek to maintain undefeated records and build early-season momentum within the competitive ACC, placing high motivation on the game.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | NC State -260, Wake Forest +210 | NC State Wolfpack | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | NC State -6.5 -120, Wake Forest +6.5 -102 | NC State Wolfpack -6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 53.5 -112, Under 53.5 -108 | Under 53.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | NC State Wolfpack -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 53.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 53.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering the close historical matchup, home advantage for Wake Forest, and moderate defensive tendencies, the optimal single-outcome bets favor NC State to cover the spread, a moneyline win by NC State with decent probability, and a lean towards the under on total points, consistent with recent low scoring games.
Predicted Score: NC State 27 - Wake Forest 20
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