Match Analysis: Maryland Terrapins vs Indiana Hoosiers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: SECU Stadium, College Park, Maryland
Game Overview
The No. 2 Indiana Hoosiers (8-0) with the third-ranked scoring offense face the Maryland Terrapins (4-3), who have the 18th-ranked scoring defense, in a Big Ten matchup. Indiana is a heavy favorite, favored by 21.5 points, with a high expected total score around 50.5 points. Indiana recently dominated UCLA 56-6, while Maryland narrowly lost to UCLA 20-17.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana is undefeated (8-0), showing dominant offensive performances including a 56-6 victory over UCLA. Maryland is 4-3, with a solid defensive rank but recent struggles, losing three of their last four including a close loss to UCLA.
- Historically, Indiana has held an upper hand, and current form strongly favors Indiana especially given their scoring power and defensive efficiency. No recent direct head-to-head detailed data available, but Indianaโs superior record implies dominance.
- No explicit injury reports available from the data. Both teams expected to field their regular players with no significant absences reported.
- Game is at SECU Stadium in College Park giving Maryland home advantage, but this is mitigated by Indianaโs overwhelming superior form. The game will be televised on CBS with streaming on Paramount+. Weather and other external conditions not specified, likely neutral.
- Indiana is poised to maintain an undefeated season and improve Big Ten dominance. Maryland seeks to upset a top contender at home, but motivation differences lean heavily toward Indiana maintaining momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers: -1650, Maryland Terrapins: 950 | Indiana Hoosiers | โ โ โ โ โ 95% |
| Spread | Indiana Hoosiers: -21.5 (-112), Maryland Terrapins: +21.5 (-108) | Indiana Hoosiers cover the -21.5 spread | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Over/under | over: 50.5 (-112), under: 50.5 (-108) | Over 50.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 50.5 33% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana Hoosiers win convincingly by at least 21 points, leveraging high-powered offense and consistent defense.
Predicted Score: Indiana Hoosiers 42 – Maryland Terrapins 17