Match Analysis: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
Game Overview
This Sun Belt Conference matchup features the Old Dominion Monarchs (5-3 overall, 2-2 conference) visiting the UL Monroe Warhawks (3-5 overall, 1-3 conference) at Malone Stadium. Old Dominion enters on a 1-game winning streak after a close 24-21 win over Appalachian State, showcasing strong offensive capabilities led by QB Colton Joseph. UL Monroe is struggling with a 4-game losing streak following a heavy 49-21 loss at Southern Miss. This is the first meeting between the programs, adding an element of unfamiliarity.
Key Factors to Consider
- Old Dominion has a better recent record (5-3) and appears offensively stronger, averaging 459 yards in their latest game led by dynamic passing from Colton Joseph. UL Monroe has been inconsistent, with a defense that has recently conceded large point totals and an offense that has struggled to maintain pace.
- This is the first ever meeting between Old Dominion Monarchs and UL Monroe Warhawks, so no direct historical data is available.
- No specific injuries reported for either team prior to this game based on available information.
- Game is played at Malone Stadium in Monroe, Louisiana, favoring the home UL Monroe Warhawks. Weather info is unavailable but should be factored if known closer to game day.
- Old Dominion aims to solidify its position in the Sun Belt East division with a win, potentially gaining momentum for postseason aspirations. UL Monroe looks to stop their losing skid at home and improve standing in the West division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs: -800, UL Monroe Warhawks: 560 | Old Dominion Monarchs win | โ โ โ โ โ 85% |
| Spread | Old Dominion Monarchs: -17.5 -105, UL Monroe Warhawks: +17.5 -115 | Old Dominion Monarchs to cover -17.5 points | โ โ โ โ โ 80% |
| Over/under | Over: 53.5 -110, Under: 53.5 -110 | Over 53.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Old Dominion Monarchs -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 53.5 24% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Over 53.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Old Dominion favored to win convincingly based on recent offensive performance, higher win percentage, and stronger overall team form. Expect Old Dominion to cover the spread and the total points to approach the over market, given UL Monroe's defensive vulnerabilities and the offensive strength of Old Dominion.
Predicted Score: Old Dominion Monarchs 38 – UL Monroe Warhawks 17