Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 7:11 PM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The San Diego Padres visit the Colorado Rockies in Denver for a late-season MLB matchup where the Padres are strong favorites despite the high-scoring environment of Coors Field.
Key Factors to Consider
- Padres have a 76-65 record showing solid performance and a better overall team ERA and hitting stats. Rockies are struggling with a 40-101 record, poor pitching (6.00 ERA), and below-average hitting.
- This is the third game of the series currently tied 1-1. Padres have won the recent meetings and have a historical edge, especially with better pitching consistency.
- No major injuries reported for key Padres players like Fernando Tatis Jr. Rockies have their main contributors available but the overall squad depth is limited.
- Playing at Coors Field favors hitters due to altitude, increasing run totals. Weather conditions appear stable with no rain or wind issues.
- Padres are pushing for playoff positioning, increasing motivation. Rockies are out of contention, likely affecting effort and strategic focus.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: +190, San Diego Padres: -230 | San Diego Padres | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies: +1.5 110, San Diego Padres: -1.5 -132 | San Diego Padres -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 11.5 -104, Under: 11.5 -118 | Over 11.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Padres -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 11.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 11.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Padres win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the game goes over 11.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 8, Colorado Rockies 4
