Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 4:11 PM UTC
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa Bay
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Rays host the Cleveland Guardians in the final game of their four-game AL series. Both teams have had close performances recently, but the Rays are slight favorites at home with competent pitching and solid hitting performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Rays hold a 71-71 record, performing moderately well at home; they are 16-15 when favored at about -142 moneyline odds. Cleveland is 71-70, having recently won the previous game in this series, but their offense has shown inconsistency.
- The series has been competitive, with Cleveland responding well after an opening loss. Tampa Bay has a slightly better historical edge as a home favorite.
- No significant injury reports impacting the starting pitching or key hitters have been noted for either team on this date.
- Playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field offers a typical Rays home advantage. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no expected disruptions.
- Both teams are close in standings and fight for playoff relevance late in the season, adding intensity and motivation for a strong finish.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays: -142, Cleveland Guardians: +120 | Tampa Bay Rays | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Tampa Bay Rays -1.5: 142, Cleveland Guardians +1.5: -176 | Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 8: -114, Under 8: -106 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Tampa Bay Rays moneyline, take Tampa Bay on spread -1.5, and under 8 runs total.
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 5 – Cleveland Guardians 3