Match Analysis: Bologna vs Torino – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-29
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy
Game Overview
Bologna hosts Torino in a Serie A Round 9 match. Bologna, currently 5th in the league, show strong home form and solid first-half performances, having led at halftime in their last five games and not conceding first-half goals at home this season. Torino ranks 14th with mixed away form, having not led at halftime in their last eight away games and all their wins so far by a one-goal margin. Recent head-to-head data favors Bologna, especially at home where Torino has failed to win in their last nine visits.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bologna has been unbeaten at home this season with strong attacking contributions from key players like NicolΓ² Cambiaghi, who has four contributions in the last three home games. Torino has had mixed results on the road and relies heavily on Giovanni Simeone for goals.
- Bologna has won 3 of the last 4 overall meetings and is unbeaten in the last 9 home matches against Torino (5 draws, 4 wins). Historically, the teams are closely matched with Bologna having 8 wins, Torino 9, and 11 draws in 28 meetings, but Bologna's home advantage and recent dominance at Renato DallβAra are significant.
- Bologna misses Emil Holm (suspension), Jens Odgaard (injury), and Ciro Immobile (injury). Torino is missing Niels Nkounkou, Perr Schuurs, Tino Anjorin, and Zanos Savva due to injuries. Torino's keeper Franco Israel may return after missing the last game.
- The match venue is Bologna's home ground, where they have strong historic form. No significant weather or external disruptions noted.
- Bologna, placed higher in the league, will be motivated to maintain their strong home form and continue to push for top positions. Torino fights mid-table and needs points to improve standings, but recent inconsistent away performances may sap confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -130, away: 405, draw: 240 | Bologna win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | home: -0.75 (1.02), away: +75 (-1.22) | Bologna -0.75 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | over: 2.25 (-1.05), under: 2.25 (-1.15) | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bologna 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bologna is favored to win due to superior home form, recent head-to-head dominance at Renato Dall'Ara, and better first-half performances. Prediction is a Bologna win by a narrow margin.
Predicted Score: 2-1