Match Analysis: Panathinaikos vs Maccabi Tel Aviv – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-28
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Telekom Center Athens
Game Overview
The Euroleague Round 7 matchup features Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens hosting Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv. Both teams have shown competitive form early in the season, with Panathinaikos holding a solid 4-1 record and Maccabi at 3-4. Panathinaikos is favored at home with strong offensive output averaging around 88 points per game, whereas Maccabi averages slightly below at 88.3 points. The game is critical for positioning in the EuroLeague standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Panathinaikos boasts a better recent record and strong home-court advantage, with consistent scoring performance from key players like Kendrick Nunn (16.3 PIR). Maccabi Tel Aviv, led by O'Shae Brissett (12.7 PIR), has struggled for consistent wins but remains dangerous due to their experience and tactical versatility.
- Historically, Panathinaikos and Maccabi Tel Aviv have a competitive rivalry with recent games slightly favoring Panathinaikos. The last five matchups show Panathinaikos holding a 4-1 advantage, demonstrating an ability to impose their game plan.
- No major injuries reported for either team from the available information, indicating that both sides will likely field their strongest lineups.
- Playing in Athens offers Panathinaikos advantage due to home crowd and familiarity with the court. Travel fatigue may slightly affect Maccabi, who also have a dense schedule in October.
- Panathinaikos is motivated to maintain a strong Euroleague start and capitalize on home advantage, while Maccabi seeks to rebound after a middling start and prove resilience on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Panathinaikos: -500, Maccabi Tel Aviv: 350 | Panathinaikos win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Panathinaikos: -10.5 -110, Maccabi Tel Aviv: +10.5 -118 | Panathinaikos -10.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: 175.5 -110, under: 175.5 -110 | Under 175.5 points | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Panathinaikos -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 175.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 175.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Panathinaikos is favored to win this home game due to superior recent form, home advantage, and stronger head-to-head record. The prediction is a Panathinaikos victory by a margin slightly greater than the 10.5 point spread.
Predicted Score: Panathinaikos 91 – Maccabi Tel Aviv 78