Match Analysis: Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-28
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: To Be Confirmed
Game Overview
The upcoming NBA game between the Utah Jazz (home) and the Phoenix Suns (away) features a rivalry with 204 regular season games played historically, Suns holding an all-time edge with 109 wins over Jazzβs 95. Recent encounters heavily favor the Suns, winning most of their last head-to-head matches, including several close games decided in overtime.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Utah Jazz have been struggling recently, with only 2 wins in their last 10 games and 0 wins in their last 10 away games. The Phoenix Suns have a better recent form versus the Jazz, winning 3 of their last 5 meetings. Statistical trends show Utah scoring an average of ~119 PPG but conceding around 135 PPG in the last five games, whereas Suns allow about 115 points while scoring roughly 104 in recent contests.
- The Suns lead the all-time regular season series 109-95. In recent matchups, Suns have dominated, including a 135-127 OT win on 08/02/2025, and several other wins by margins generally around 8 points. Suns have been 5-3 ATS against Jazz since 2024 and unbeaten 8-0 on the moneyline in that span.
- Current data sources do not provide explicit injury updates for this match. This remains a critical unknown that could impact predictions.
- No specific external factors such as travel fatigue or extraordinary weather conditions affecting the game indoors have been reported. However, the Jazzβs poor road form may psychologically impact their performance.
- Given Jazzβs recent poor results, including a 0-10 road losing streak, motivation might be impacted negatively. Suns appear more confident coming off recent wins, motivated to maintain their edge over the Jazz and improve standings early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns: -122, Utah Jazz: +102 | Phoenix Suns win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Phoenix Suns: -1.5 at -115, Utah Jazz: +1.5 at -105 | Phoenix Suns cover -1.5 spread | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 233.5: -108, Under 233.5: -112 | Over 233.5 points total | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phoenix Suns 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 233.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 233.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Phoenix Suns are favored to win the match taking into account their superior recent form, dominant head-to-head record, and current betting odds favoring them on the moneyline and spread.
Predicted Score: Phoenix Suns 120 – Utah Jazz 110