Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: October 26, 2025
- Time: 9:10 PM UTC
- Location: Benchmark International Arena
Game Overview
The Tampa Bay Lightning face off against the Vegas Golden Knights in a crucial NHL matchup. The Lightning are looking to improve their home record, while the Golden Knights aim to continue their strong start to the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tampa Bay Lightning have a home record of 1-3-0, while the Vegas Golden Knights are 2-1-1 on the road. The Golden Knights have been performing well overall, with a 5-1-2 record.
- Historically, the Lightning have struggled against teams with a strong offense like the Golden Knights.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- The home advantage usually favors Tampa Bay, but Vegasβ recent performance suggests they might not be easily intimidated.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with the Lightning seeking to regain momentum and the Golden Knights looking to build on their success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | TBL -142, VGK 120 | TBL win | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | TBL -1.5 170, VGK 1.5 -205 | VGK +1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 6.5 100, Under 6.5 -120 | Over 6.5 | β β β ββ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tampa Bay Lightning 28% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 6.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tampa Bay Lightning are favored to win, but Vegas Golden Knights have a strong chance due to their recent form.
Predicted Score: TBL 4, VGK 3