Match Analysis: Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-07
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
Game Overview
A closely contested MLS Western Conference matchup between Sporting Kansas City and Austin FC, both teams motivated by playoff aspirations and recent strong performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sporting Kansas City is coming off a strong win against Colorado, showing potential for a late playoff push. Austin FC currently holds a top seven spot in the Western Conference and seeks to widen their advantage with a road win.
- Previous meetings have been competitive and relatively balanced, indicating a tough game with no clear dominance.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side, with both teams likely fielding strong lineups.
- Match played at Sporting Kansas City's home ground, Children's Mercy Park, where home advantage is significant. Weather and other external conditions are normal.
- Both teams are motivated by playoff positioning in a tight Western Conference, increasing the competitive stakes.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Kansas City +145 / Austin FC +160 / Draw +275 | Sporting Kansas City | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Sporting Kansas City -0.5 +137 / Austin FC +50 -185 | Sporting Kansas City -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -182 / Under 2.5 +134 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Kansas City 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 36% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Kansas City to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to go under 2.5 total goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0