Match Analysis: Baltimore Orioles vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-05
- Time: 11:06 PM UTC
- Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Baltimore Orioles in an MLB matchup. Dodgers are favorites with strong pitching and a solid season record, while Orioles have struggled but showed recent resilience at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers hold a 78-62 record with recent struggles (1-4 last 5), facing Orioles who are 64-76 but won 4 of last 5 games. Orioles show offensive capability but inconsistent pitching; Dodgers have more balanced and deeper pitching staff.
- Recent H2H favors Dodgers with 6 wins to Oriolesβ 3 in last 9 matchups. Dodgers won last matchup 6-3 on August 30. Orioles perform slightly better at home historically but have lost 7 of last 8 home games against Dodgers.
- No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups or pitchers for either team.
- Game at Camden Yards with natural grass, which typically favors Orioles' playing style. Weather and conditions expected to be neutral.
- Dodgers push for playoff positioning with better season record; Orioles motivated to improve standings though already struggling.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Baltimore +138, Los Angeles -164 | Los Angeles Dodgers | β β β β β 76% |
Spread | Baltimore Orioles +1.5 -115, Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 -102 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Los Angeles Dodgers win moneyline and cover the -1.5 run line, with the game likely to go over 8.5 total runs due to offensive firepower and pitching inconsistency on both sides.
Predicted Score: Dodgers 6 – Orioles 4