Match Analysis: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: War Memorial Stadium
Game Overview
The Arkansas Razorbacks host the Arkansas State Red Wolves in Week 2 of the 2025 NCAAF season. Both teams enter undefeated at 1-0, but Arkansas is a heavy favorite given its stronger program, home field, and recent dominance in the matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas is 1-0 with strong defensive capabilities and a more proven offense, while Arkansas State is also 1-0 but against a weaker opponent. Arkansas State showed scoring ability but also had ball security issues. Arkansas' offense is projected to outscore Arkansas State significantly.
- Arkansas has historically dominated Arkansas State in recent matchups, often winning by large margins, contributing to a psychological edge and confidence in covering large spreads.
- No significant injury reports are currently available for either team impacting this matchup.
- The game is played at War Memorial Stadium with Arkansas as the home team, providing them a notable home-field advantage. Arkansas State will face travel and venue challenges.
- Arkansas, aiming to assert its dominance early and maintain momentum as a top program, has higher motivation to decisively win. Arkansas State may be motivated to prove competitive but lacks the depth and talent to keep pace.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas -2400 / Arkansas State +1200 | Arkansas Razorbacks | β β β β β 88% |
Spread | Arkansas -23.5 (-112) / Arkansas State +23.5 (-108) | Arkansas Razorbacks -23.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 62.5 (-110) / Under 62.5 (-110) | Under 62.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arkansas Razorbacks -7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 62.5 30% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 62.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arkansas Razorbacks to win straight up, cover the large -23.5 spread, and the total score to go under 62.5 points.
Predicted Score: Arkansas Razorbacks 31 – Arkansas State Red Wolves 14