Match Analysis: Missouri Tigers vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium at Faurot Field, Columbia, MO
Game Overview
The Missouri Tigers enter this Week 2 matchup with a 1-0 record, hosting the Kansas Jayhawks who are 2-0. Missouri has deeper roster depth and strong home-field advantage, while Kansas comes in off a convincing 46-7 win, led by a potent passing attack and an improving defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kansas is off a strong 2-0 start with impressive offensive output especially in the passing game (Jalon Daniels with 7 TDs, 456 yards). Missouri is unbeaten but 1-0 with less recent dominant performance data. Missouriβs defense is more rigid, impacting turnovers and containing explosive plays.
- Kansas has won as an underdog in their last three meetings and has covered the spread as an underdog recently, indicating they perform well against expectations. Missouri holds home advantage in this rivalry.
- Kansas is dealing with multiple defensive injuries, which could hamper their ability to contain Missouriβs offense. Missouri appears relatively healthy with no major injury concerns reported.
- Weather is expected to be clear and warm (~73Β°F) with no rain and light wind, favorable for offensive play and passing.
- Kansas looks to extend a 3-0 start for just the second consecutive season, providing strong motivation. Missouri aims to defend home turf and maintain undefeated status, with high motivation to prove deeper roster quality.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Missouri: -245, Kansas: +200 | Missouri Tigers | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Missouri -6.5 (-115), Kansas +6.5 (-105) | Missouri -6.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 50.5 (-115), Under 50.5 (-105) | Over 50.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Missouri Tigers -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 50.5 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Missouri Tigers moneyline as favorites on home turf with stronger defense and healthy roster, overcoming Kansasβ offensive firepower.
Predicted Score: Missouri Tigers 31 – Kansas Jayhawks 22