Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC
Game Overview
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-5) visit the Montreal Alouettes (5-6) in a crucial CFL matchup. Hamilton is favored by 3 points, with an over/under line around 52.5 points. Both teams have potent offenses but recent form and injuries tilt the balance slightly toward Hamilton.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hamilton has a solid 6-5 record, showing strong passing performance led by Bo Levi Mitchell, who recently threw for 405 yards and 3 TDs despite a loss. Montreal is slightly below .500 and has struggled to consistently contain opposing offenses.
- Recent matchups have leaned slightly in favor of Hamilton, especially given their ability to maintain offensive yardage against Montrealβs defense. Close contests tend to favor the team with the better quarterback play, which currently is Hamilton.
- Available data indicates no key injuries for Hamiltonβs starting QB Bo Levi Mitchell or major offensive weapons. Montrealβs status appears stable but with less depth, potentially impacting late-game stamina.
- The game is at Montrealβs home stadium but Hamilton is experienced playing on the road. Weather has no reported adverse conditions affecting play.
- Hamilton, coming off a close loss, is motivated to rebound strongly and solidify playoff positioning. Montreal needs this win to improve their standings and avoid falling further behind.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hamilton Tiger-Cats: -170, Montreal Alouettes: +142 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3: -115, Montreal Alouettes +3: -105 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 52.5: -105, Under 52.5: -115 | Over 52.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 52.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 52.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline win
Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 29 – Montreal Alouettes 23