Match Analysis: Shauna Bannon vs Sam Hughes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-06
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France
Game Overview
Women's Strawweight bout between Shauna Bannon (7-1) and Sam Hughes (10-6) at UFC Paris. Hughes is favored with stronger recent performances and superior cardio, while Bannon has solid striking but less effective at UFC level.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sam Hughes has improved to 3-1 in her last four fights, showing better cardio, pressure, and defensive striking (58% strike defense) compared to Bannon who connects more but allows more significant strikes. Hughes has a grinding style that tends to overwhelm similar opponents.
- No previous head-to-head matchup between Shauna Bannon and Sam Hughes.
- No reported recent injuries for either fighter impacting performance.
- Fight takes place at a neutral venue in Paris. Hughes' relentless pace and ground control style are expected to be effective regardless of venue.
- Hughes appears highly motivated to maintain winning momentum and exploit Bannonβs vulnerabilities; Bannon looking to establish herself as UFC contender but has yet to demonstrate dominance at this level.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sam Hughes -340, Shauna Bannon +270 | Sam Hughes | β β β β β 77% |
Spread | Sam Hughes -3.5 (-115), Shauna Bannon +3.5 (-115) | Sam Hughes -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -475, Under 2.5 rounds +325 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sam Hughes -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 155% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 155% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sam Hughes to win via decision
Predicted Score: Sam Hughes wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)