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David Mgoyan vs. Tommy McMillen Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: David Mgoyan vs Tommy McMillen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

David Mgoyan and Tommy McMillen face off in a highly competitive and closely matched featherweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters enter undefeated, with Mgoyan holding a 7-0 record and McMillen an 8-0 record. The matchup features contrasting styles and physical advantages that set the stage for a compelling contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mgoyan boasts a well-rounded skill set and younger age (21 vs 27), but has been somewhat tentative and made questionable decisions in cages. McMillen has a perfect first-round finish streak and aggressive style, leveraging an 8-0 run and a wrestling base with submission prowess reflecting 5 submission wins.
  • This is their first meeting with no prior head-to-head data. Both fighters present high finishing rates and similar career stages, though McMillen has more submission victories, and Mgoyan shows more knockout power.
  • McMillen previously suffered an AC joint separation that postponed his UFC Contender appearance last year but has since recovered fully and remained active with one fight since then. Mgoyan has no reported injuries.
  • The fight occurs at the UFC Apex, with McMillen having strong local motivation as a Montana native making his UFC-related debut. Mgoyan is a late replacement with only a few weeks notice but is highly motivated to prove his ceiling.
  • McMillen has expressed strong motivation to stop the recent overseas dominance in the UFC featherweight division and secure a UFC contract on home soil. Mgoyan seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and prove his potential as a rising prospect.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline David Mgoyan: -194, Tommy McMillen: 169 Tommy McMillen ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Tommy McMillen -1.5: +150, David Mgoyan +1.5: -180 Tommy McMillen -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.5: -153, Under 1.5: 133 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline David Mgoyan 56%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: David Mgoyan at 56% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tommy McMillen to win by submission

Predicted Score: Tommy McMillen wins by submission in round 2


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David Mgoyan vs. Tommy McMillen Prediction

Match Analysis: David Mgoyan vs Tommy McMillen – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-03 Time: 12:00 AM UTC Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas Game Overview David Mgoyan and Tommy McMillen face off in a highly competitive and closely matched featherweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series. Both fighters enter undefeated, with Mgoyan holding a 7-0 record […]

David Mgoyan MMA/Boxing September 3, 2025 Tommy McMillen

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Marcin Tybura vs. Ante Delija Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 6:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Paris

Game Overview

Heavyweight UFC rematch between Poland's Marcin Tybura, a seasoned top-ten gatekeeper, and Croatia's Ante Delija, UFC newcomer and former PFL heavyweight champion. Both fighters have strong resumes; the bout carries high stakes for position and reputation in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tybur has a solid UFC record with a 27-9 career, showing durable and technical striking and grappling. Delija comes off dominant wins in PFL with first-round TKO victories and limited UFC experience but strong momentum as a rising prospect.
  • This matchup is a rematch; prior fight details are limited, but betting markets view it as extremely close, with Delija slightly favored due to recent dominant form and youth advantage.
  • No notable recent injuries reported for either fighter. Both appear healthy heading into the fight.
  • Fight is in Paris, neutral venue; no significant travel or altitude disadvantages. Delija’s UFC debut brings freshness, while Tybura aims to defend ranking status.
  • Delija highly motivated to establish himself in UFC with a statement win. Tybura motivated to retain top-ten gatekeeper status and avoid being passed by newcomers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ante Delija: -112, Marcin Tybura: -108 Ante Delija ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Ante Delija +3.5: -205, Marcin Tybura -3.5: +150 Ante Delija +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ante Delija -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ante Delija moneyline win

Predicted Score: Ante Delija wins by decision or late TKO in round 3


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Sam Patterson vs. Trey Waters Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sam Patterson vs Trey Waters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 5:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Sam Patterson and Trey Waters face off in the Welterweight division at UFC Paris. Patterson carries a strong record of 13-2-1 with notable reach advantage and efficient striking defense, while Waters is an aggressive striker with a 9-1 record known for his pressure and output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Patterson has a 13-2-1 record, showcasing consistency with a balanced striking output (3.17 significant strikes/min, 41% accuracy) and strong defense (48% striking defense). Waters is 9-1, with higher striking volume (6.43 significant strikes/min, 44% accuracy) but absorbs more strikes (5.61/min) despite a better defense rate (56%).
  • They have no prior head-to-head matchups, so direct comparative historic performance is unavailable.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter prior to the fight.
  • The fight takes place at a major UFC event in Paris, which may somewhat favor Patterson given his higher experience in big cards, but both fighters are motivated to solidify their standings.
  • Patterson seeks to maintain momentum and capitalize on his experience; Waters aims to prove himself with an upset win on a prominent stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Patterson: -185, Trey Waters: +154 Sam Patterson ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sam Patterson -3.5: -120, Trey Waters +3.5: -110 Sam Patterson -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -188, Under 1.5: +145 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Patterson -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 47%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Patterson to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Sam Patterson wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Brad Tavares vs. Robert Bryczek Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brad Tavares vs Robert Bryczek – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 5:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Brad Tavares, a veteran middleweight fighter with a 21-10 record, faces Robert Bryczek, an aggressive 17-6 fighter, at UFC Paris. Both fighters are orthodox, similar in height and weight, but Tavares brings more experience and precision striking, while Bryczek has shown finishing power especially with KO/TKOs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tavares has a higher significant strikes per minute rate (3.42) and lands 43% accuracy versus Bryczek’s 2.13 and 24%, indicating superior striking efficiency. Defensively, Tavares concedes fewer significant strikes per minute than Bryczek (3.28 vs 4.47).
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Tavares and Bryczek.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter.
  • Fight takes place in Paris with no significant home advantage. Tavares appears motivated and well-prepared, with no external distractions noted.
  • Tavares is motivated to maintain his status amid an aging phase and prove longevity, while Bryczek looks to make a statement stepping up in competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brad Tavares: -225, Robert Bryczek: +185 Brad Tavares ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Brad Tavares -3.5: +110, Robert Bryczek +3.5: -150 Robert Bryczek +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -215, Under 2.5 rounds: +165 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brad Tavares -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brad Tavares to win via decision

Predicted Score: Tavares wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Andreas Gustafsson Berg vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Andreas Gustafsson Berg vs Rinat Fakhretdinov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Andreas Gustafsson Berg faces Rinat Fakhretdinov in a welterweight bout at UFC Paris with both fighters showcasing strong skills. Gustafsson has a solid striking output with higher accuracy and better defense, while Fakhretdinov holds a superior professional record and a slight reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gustafsson (12-2) strikes 5.83 significant strikes per minute at 76% accuracy, absorbing 2.79 strikes per minute. Fakhretdinov (23-1-1) lands 4.78 strikes at 52% accuracy, absorbing 3.58 significant strikes per minute but defends 53% of strikes.
  • No previous head-to-head meetings found between Gustafsson and Fakhretdinov, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Paris at Accor Arena, no notable external factors affecting performance. Both fighters fight orthodox and are similarly aged.
  • Fakhretdinov looks to maintain near-perfect career record (23-1-1), while Gustafsson aims to solidify himself against an elite opponent. Both highly motivated, but Fakhretdinov’s record suggests a slight edge in career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -120, away: +100 Andreas Gustafsson Berg ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: +150, away: -205 Rinat Fakhretdinov +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -195, under: +150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andreas Gustafsson Berg 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 75%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 75% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Andreas Gustafsson Berg to win on the moneyline. Expect a competitive fight, with Gustafsson’s precision striking and defense to edge out Fakhretdinov. Take the under 2.5 rounds considering strong defensive attributes and measured pace.

Predicted Score: Andreas Gustafsson Berg wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shauna Bannon vs Sam Hughes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 4:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Women's Strawweight bout between Shauna Bannon (7-1) and Sam Hughes (10-6) at UFC Paris. Hughes is favored with stronger recent performances and superior cardio, while Bannon has solid striking but less effective at UFC level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sam Hughes has improved to 3-1 in her last four fights, showing better cardio, pressure, and defensive striking (58% strike defense) compared to Bannon who connects more but allows more significant strikes. Hughes has a grinding style that tends to overwhelm similar opponents.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup between Shauna Bannon and Sam Hughes.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter impacting performance.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue in Paris. Hughes' relentless pace and ground control style are expected to be effective regardless of venue.
  • Hughes appears highly motivated to maintain winning momentum and exploit Bannon’s vulnerabilities; Bannon looking to establish herself as UFC contender but has yet to demonstrate dominance at this level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Hughes -340, Shauna Bannon +270 Sam Hughes ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Sam Hughes -3.5 (-115), Shauna Bannon +3.5 (-115) Sam Hughes -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -475, Under 2.5 rounds +325 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Hughes -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 155%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 155% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Hughes to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sam Hughes wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Kauê Fernandes vs. Harry Hardwick Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kauê Fernandes vs Harry Hardwick – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris

Game Overview

Featherweight champion Harry Hardwick steps up on short notice to fight Kauê Fernandes at UFC Paris, moving up a weight class for his UFC debut. Fernandes, with a 10-2 MMA record, was originally set to face Fares Ziam but now meets the Cage Warriors star. This fight features contrasting preparation times and experience in different divisions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fernandes holds a 10-2 record, showing solid experience in lightweight with consistent performances. Hardwick, at 13-3-1, comes off a recent Cage Warriors featherweight title defense and a strong technical skillset but is moving up in weight and has less time to prepare.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups exist between Fernandes and Hardwick, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter, but Hardwick’s short notice entry may impact his peak physical condition and preparation.
  • Hardwick’s quick turnaround and weight class jump are significant external pressures; the fight being in Paris at the Accor Arena may favor Fernandes due to better preparation.
  • Hardwick is highly motivated in his UFC debut to establish himself at a higher level and prove his versatility by moving up in weight. Fernandes aims to continue his winning momentum and capitalize on the short notice factor against Hardwick.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fernandes: -160, Hardwick: +140 Kauê Fernandes ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Fernandes -1.5 (-150), Hardwick +1.5 (+130) Fernandes -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -205, Under 2.5 +177 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kauê Fernandes -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 66%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 66% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kauê Fernandes to win by decision

Predicted Score: Fernandes wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Lany Silva vs. Aieza Bertolso Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lany Silva vs Aieza Bertolso – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cuiabá, Brazil

Game Overview

The Strawweight title bout between reigning champion Lany Silva and unbeaten challenger Aieza Bertolso at LFA 216 presents a clash of Silva's experience and championship pedigree against Bertolso's unbeaten momentum and rising skill set.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lany Silva has demonstrated consistent winning form in her recent fights, holding the Strawweight belt and displaying solid striking and grappling defense. Aieza Bertolso remains unbeaten, showing strong submission ability and durability, but with fewer high-profile bouts at this championship level.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup exists between Silva and Bertolso, making this fight their first direct encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full health and prepared.
  • LFA 216 is being contested in Cuiabá, Brazil, which favors Silva as the local favorite, potentially boosting her motivation and crowd support.
  • Silva aims to defend her title and maintain her champion status, while Bertolso is highly motivated to remain unbeaten and capture her first major belt, making this a high-stakes contest for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -205 Lany Silva ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread +125 for Silva -1.5 rounds Silva to win by a margin of more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under -110 over 2.5 rounds Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lany Silva to win by decision

Predicted Score: Silva wins by unanimous decision (30-27 across all judges)


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Marcelo Marques vs. Felipe Oliveira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcelo Marques vs Felipe Oliveira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cuiabá, Mato Grosso, Brazil

Game Overview

The matchup between Marcelo Marques and Felipe Oliveira at LFA 216 features two undefeated featherweights with contrasting styles: Marques is a crafty grappler with a perfect 11-0 record, while Oliveira is an explosive striker with a 11-4 record. Both fighters made weight successfully and are poised for a competitive bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcelo Marques is undefeated at 11-0 with a balanced finishing ability (4 submissions, 4 decisions), showing strong ground game and control. Felipe Oliveira has an 11-4 record with more KO power (3 KOs) but has lost 4 times, indicating some vulnerability, particularly against grapplers.
  • No previous direct matchups between these fighters, making this a fresh and technical contest.
  • No reported injuries or weight issues for either fighter as both made weight successfully at the official weigh-in.
  • Fight is in Cuiabá, Brazil, a neutral venue for both, with no notable crowd advantage or disadvantage. The event is sold out, adding atmosphere pressures but no clear external edge.
  • Both fighters are undefeated or close to it and looking to climb the featherweight ranks, increasing motivation to secure a decisive win. Oliveira needs to prove himself against a grappler like Marques to regain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -150 for Marcelo Marques, +130 for Felipe Oliveira Marcelo Marques ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -1.5 rounds +175 for Marques, +1.5 rounds -225 for Oliveira Marcelo Marques -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcelo Marques to win by submission

Predicted Score: Marcelo Marques wins via submission in Round 2


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Daniel Araujo vs. Thomas Bryan Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Daniel Araujo vs Thomas Bryan – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Malai Manso Resort, Cuiaba, Mato Grosso, Brazil

Game Overview

Daniel Araújo (7-0) and Thomas Bryan (7-3) face off in a bantamweight (135 lbs) bout with Araújo undefeated and Bryan having a few losses. Both fighters have equal height and reach, but Daniel has a perfect record and more KO wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Daniel Araújo is undefeated (7-0), with 6 wins by KO/TKO and 1 decision win in recent fights, showing strong finishing ability. Thomas Bryan holds a 7-3 record with mixed decision and submission wins but fewer KO stoppages.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts reported between Daniel Araújo and Thomas Bryan.
  • No reported injuries or weigh-in issues for either fighter reported before the bout.
  • The fight is in Brazil, which is the home country of both fighters, cancelling any home advantage. Both fighters are young and seemingly in good physical condition with no adverse external influences identified.
  • Daniel Araújo is undefeated and likely motivated to maintain his perfect record, possibly pushing for a bigger promotional opportunity. Thomas Bryan has losses to overcome, likely motivated to prove himself but facing a gap in momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -800, away: +425 Daniel Araújo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: -1.5 (+175), away: +1.5 (-225) Daniel Araújo -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -150, under_2.5_rounds: +120 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniel Araujo 336%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Daniel Araujo at 336% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 79% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Araújo to win via KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Daniel Araújo wins by TKO/KO in Round 1 or 2


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