Match Analysis: Washington State Cougars vs Toledo Rockets – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Martin Stadium, Pullman, Washington
Game Overview
The Washington State Cougars will host the Toledo Rockets in a Week 9 non-conference NCAA football matchup. Washington State currently holds a 3-4 overall record and plays in the Pac-12, while Toledo is 4-3 overall representing the Mid-American Conference (MAC). The game is expected to be competitive with Toledo slightly favored on the moneyline despite being the visiting team.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toledo has a 4-3 record with notable wins against Western Kentucky (45-21) and Kent State (45-10), but close losses to Western Michigan (13-14) and Bowling Green (23-28). Washington State holds a 3-4 record with no conference games yet played; their overall performance has been inconsistent. Toledo shows a stronger recent offensive output while Washington State has home field advantage.
- There are no recent or known direct matchups between Washington State and Toledo, indicating limited head-to-head data. This lack of history increases uncertainty and requires deeper focus on season form and external factors.
- Currently, no specific injury reports are available for either Washington State Cougars or Toledo Rockets for this matchup, suggesting both teams may be near full strength.
- The game is played at Washington State's Martin Stadium, giving the Cougars a home advantage with familiar conditions and local fan support. Weather conditions near game day are not currently provided but could influence game dynamics.
- Toledo, boasting a slightly better record and recent offensive success, is motivated to prove dominance against a Power 5 opponent on the road. Washington State seeks to improve their sub-.500 record and maintain competitiveness in non-conference play.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toledo Rockets: +102, Washington State Cougars: -122 | Washington State Cougars | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
| Spread | Toledo Rockets: 1.5 -110, Washington State Cougars: -1.5 -110 | Washington State Cougars -1.5 | โ โ โ โโ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 46.5 -108, Under: 46.5 -112 | Over 46.5 | โ โ โ โโ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington State Cougars 4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 46.5 2% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Washington State Cougars at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington State Cougars are predicted to narrowly win based on home advantage and the odds favoring them on the moneyline and spread. Confidence is moderate due to Toledo's strong offense and competitive record.
Predicted Score: Washington State Cougars 27 – Toledo Rockets 24