Match Analysis: Hull City vs Leicester City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-21
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: MKM Stadium, Hull, England
Game Overview
The EFL Championship clash between Hull City and Leicester City takes place at MKM Stadium with Leicester currently holding 3rd place and Hull City 15th in the league standings. Leicester City enter as strong favorites but Hull will look to capitalize on home advantage to upset their high-ranking opponents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leicester City have demonstrated consistent form, positioned 3rd in the Championship, highlighting strong attacking and defensive capabilities. Hull City, currently 15th, have shown mixed results with some resilience but lack the consistency Leicester has so far in the season.
- In previous encounters, Leicester City leads with 6 wins to Hull City's 3, while 5 matches ended in draws, indicating a historical advantage for Leicester but with competitive balance in some matches.
- Current data does not specify critical injuries but typical team updates should be monitored closer to matchday to assess squad availability.
- The match is played at Hull's home stadium which provides some home-field advantage. There are no reported adverse weather or external conditions impacting the game.
- Leicester City, chasing promotion, are highly motivated to secure maximum points to maintain top 3 positioning. Hull City, mid-table, aim to climb and will be motivated to disrupt Leicesterβs momentum, particularly at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hull City: 1.99, Leicester City: 1.26, Draw: 2.3 | Leicester City win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Hull City: -117, Leicester City: -103 | Leicester City -0.25 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -101, Under 2.5: -119 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leicester City 22% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Leicester City at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City are favored to win given their league position, historical head-to-head dominance, and consistent current form. Expect a competitive match, but Leicester's quality likely edges a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: 1-2