Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-01
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Game Overview
The Calgary Stampeders (7-3) host the Edmonton Elks (4-6) in a pivotal CFL matchup. Calgary is the favorite with a dominant home record and a balanced, high-scoring offense, while Edmonton has shown recent resurgence with quarterback Cody Fajardo revitalizing their play.
Key Factors to Consider
- Calgary has been a strong contender with dominant wins and a tough defense, while Edmonton has won three straight games, showing improved offensive production under Fajardo but still inconsistent defense.
- Calgary has historically been the stronger side, controlling past matchups and holding home advantage, although Edmontonβs recent form shows potential to keep the game competitive.
- No major injuries reported that heavily impact starting lineups, both teams seem near full strength, making talent and recent form the key factors.
- Calgary's home environment at McMahon Stadium favors the Stampeders, plus the Monday Labour Day night timing adds motivation and intensity for this regional rivalry.
- Calgary aims to consolidate their position atop the division while Edmonton fights to maintain a playoff chase, creating high motivation on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary -385 / Edmonton +300 | Calgary Stampeders | β β β β β 80% |
Spread | Calgary -7.5 (-115) / Edmonton +7.5 (-105) | Calgary Stampeders -7.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Over/under | Over 52.5 (-105) / Under 52.5 (-115) | Under 52.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Calgary Stampeders -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 52.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Calgary Stampeders to win outright (Moneyline) and cover the 7.5 point spread, with the game finishing under 52.5 points.
Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – 17 Edmonton Elks