Match Analysis: Syracuse Crunch vs Rochester Americans – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Upstate Medical University Arena
Game Overview
The Syracuse Crunch host the Rochester Americans in an early season AHL matchup. Both teams have started strong with Syracuse undefeated in four regular and preseason games, and Rochester posting a solid 2-1 record. The game is expected to be competitive given Rochester's recent scoring prowess and Syracuse's solid defensive and offensive displays at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Syracuse Crunch are 2-0 in regular season, with confident wins including a 5-2 and 3-2 against Hershey Bears. Rochester Americans have a 2-1 record with a high-scoring 7-4 victory against Utica Comets, supported by multiple goal scorers and solid goaltending from Devon Levi (2-0). Syracuse has been strong defensively at home, while Rochester shows offensive depth.
- The two teams faced off in preseason with Rochester dominating 7-1. Historically, Rochester has had success scoring against Utica and other teams but Syracuse won recent regular season contests. The matchup can be high scoring given Rochester's ability to produce multiple goal scorers and Syracuse's potent attack.
- No significant injury reports available for either team affecting this matchup.
- The matchup takes place at Syracuse's home arena with the home opener, likely providing extra motivation and fan support for Syracuse. The game time in late evening UTC may favor local team preparation cycles.
- Syracuse seeks to maintain their undefeated start and defend home ice in front of home fans. Rochester aims to build momentum after a statement high-scoring win and improve their road record, which historically has been strong recently.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rochester Americans: -105, Syracuse Crunch: -139 | Syracuse Crunch | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Rochester Americans: 1.5 -286, Syracuse Crunch: -1.5 200 | Syracuse Crunch -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 5.5 115, Under: 5.5 -157 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Syracuse Crunch -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Syracuse Crunch to win a closely contested match with strong defensive effort and home advantage, but expect high pace and scoring chances from Rochester.
Predicted Score: Syracuse Crunch 3 – 2 Rochester Americans