Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-29
- Time: 12:41 AM UTC
- Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs, second in the NL Central with a 76-58 record, face the struggling Colorado Rockies, who have the worst record in the NL West at 38-96. Starting pitchers are Cade Horton (Cubs) with a strong 8-4 record and 2.88 ERA versus German Marquez (Rockies), who is 3-11 with a 5.67 ERA. Cubs are clear favorites backed by superior pitching and offense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cubs have a solid season (76-58) with recent form showing some inconsistency, losing 4 of last 7 but overall stronger pitching (3.83 ERA) and offense (656 runs). Rockies are on a downtrend, 1-6 last 7 games, pitching ERA 5.94 and hitting struggles evidenced by .2398 batting average.
- Cubs dominant in recent starts by Horton (10-2 wins when he starts) and Rockies poor performance with Marquez starting (7-12 ATS, 5-12 underdog record).
- No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching.
- Game at Coors Field aids Rockies' batting due to altitude but their pitching remains vulnerable. Cubs have shown ability to handle such factors.
- Cubs motivated to maintain playoff position, Rockies with little to play for given poor season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +184, away: -220 | Chicago Cubs | β β β β β 85% |
Spread | Cubs -1.5: -150, Rockies +1.5: +125 | Chicago Cubs -1.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | over 11: -110, under 11: -110 | Over 11 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 11 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 11 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs win on moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the game goes over 11 runs.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 7 - Colorado Rockies 3
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