Match Analysis: Memphis Tigers vs Chattanooga Mocs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 8:30 PM UTC
- Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis
Game Overview
Memphis Tigers are heavy favorites hosting Chattanooga Mocs in this Week 1 NCAA football game. Memphis comes off a strong previous season (11-2) with high offensive output and solid defense, while Chattanooga enters as clear underdogs with limited recent top-level production.
Key Factors to Consider
- Memphis averaged 35.7 PPG last season with balanced strength on offense and defense, led by key players Seth Henigan (QB), Mario Anderson (RB) and Roc Taylor (WR). Chattanooga's recent form is weaker by comparison, lacking standout statistical advantages.
- No recent direct matchups documented; Memphis likely dominates on talent and execution historically given program status.
- No significant injury reports available for either team ahead of opening game.
- Game played in Memphis, providing home-field advantage to Memphis Tigers with expected supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
- Memphis motivated to start strong as a top team aiming to maintain stature, while Chattanooga motivated but facing steep challenge as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Memphis Tigers: -4500, Chattanooga Mocs: 1600 | Memphis Tigers | β β β β β 90% |
Spread | Memphis Tigers: -105, Chattanooga Mocs: -115 | Memphis Tigers -27.5 | β β β β β 85% |
Over/under | Over 55.5: -105, Under 55.5: -115 | Over 55.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Memphis Tigers -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 55.5 37% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 55.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Memphis Tigers to win outright, cover the -27.5 spread, and the total points to go over 55.5 given offensive firepower and defensive capability mismatch.
Predicted Score: Memphis Tigers 42 – Chattanooga Mocs 13