Match Analysis: Pisa vs AS Roma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Game Overview
AS Roma travel to face Serie A newcomers Pisa at the Arena Garibaldi in a matchup where Roma are strong favorites. Roma have shown consistency on the road and a solid defense, while Pisa are struggling offensively and adjusting to top-flight competition.
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma are in decent form with only one loss in their last ten away Serie A matches and maintain disciplined defense, while Pisa have had trouble scoring, managing just an own goal and a draw in recent matches.
- Limited recent top-flight meetings, but Roma historically dominate matchups owing to their Serie A experience versus Pisa's newcomer status.
- No major injuries reported impacting Roma's starting XI. Pisa have no notable absences but lack depth compared to Roma.
- Match played at Pisa's home ground, but expected to have limited impact given Pisa's inexperience at this level and Roma's superior quality.
- Roma motivated to secure early-season points away from home to establish league position; Pisa eager but likely under pressure to avoid an opening loss.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma: -141, Pisa: 405, Draw: 270 | AS Roma | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | AS Roma -0.75: -108, Pisa +75: -112 | AS Roma -0.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Under 2.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma 11% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: AS Roma at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Roma to win on the moneyline, -0.75 spread to Roma, and Under 2.5 goals total
Predicted Score: 0-1