Match Analysis: Indiana Hoosiers vs Old Dominion Monarchs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Game Overview
The Indiana Hoosiers host the Old Dominion Monarchs in an early season NCAA football matchup. Indiana is heavily favored after an 11-2 historic 2024 season and a College Football Playoff appearance, while Old Dominion enters after a 5-7 season with modest improvements expected mainly on defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Indiana averaged 41.3 points per game last season (2nd nationally) and allowed just 15.6 points per game (6th nationally). Old Dominion scored 28 PPG (69th) while allowing 28 PPG (87th). Indiana lost key offensive players but starts QB Fernando Mendoza, a top prospect. Old Dominion returns key defensive leader Jason Henderson, with questions remaining on offense.
- No readily available recent head-to-head data suggests this may be a less frequent matchup, making predictive power reliant on current form and season context.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of preseason, with both starting quarterbacks expected to play.
- Game at Indiana's home stadium with a mild 74Β°F forecast and no rain, providing ideal playing conditions. Indiana benefits from home crowd and environment.
- Indiana aims to continue momentum from a historic season and prove resilience after offseason roster changes. Old Dominion looks to upset a top-20 opponent and establish itself as a stronger program under Coach Curt Cignetti.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -2800, away: +1300 | Indiana Hoosiers | β β β β β 87% |
Spread | Indiana -23.5: -115, Old Dominion +23.5: -105 | Indiana Hoosiers -23.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Over/under | over 54.5: -110, under 54.5: -110 | Over 54.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Indiana Hoosiers -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 54.5 18% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 54.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Indiana Hoosiers to win convincingly, covering the large spread and pushing a high total score game
Predicted Score: Indiana 45 – Old Dominion 17