Match Analysis: Tulane Green Wave vs Northwestern Wildcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
Game Overview
Tulane Green Wave, finishing 9-5 last season and ranked in the top 25 for offense and defense efficiency, hosts the Northwestern Wildcats who finished 4-8. Tulane is favored by about 6 points with a total around 45.5 points. Northwestern has a new quarterback transfer Preston Stone, aiming to spark their offense, but overall their offensive output and defensive run-stopping remain weak compared to Tulane.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tulane averaged 35.1 PPG (16th nationally) and allowed 20.6 PPG (23rd nationally) last season, showing strong scoring and defense. Northwestern scored just 17.8 PPG (128th) and allowed 26.3 PPG (79th), indicating offensive struggles and below-average defense.
- Tulane leads the historical series 3-1, although the teams have not met since 1956, limiting direct relevance.
- No major injuries reported for either team as both open the season, but Tulane's quarterback position remains uncertain, which introduces slight variability in their production.
- Home field advantage at Yulman Stadium with typically warm weather (84Β°F, low rain chance), favoring Tulane. Northwestern travels across time zones potentially impacting performance.
- Tulane aims to compete for the AAC title and build on last seasonβs success, while Northwestern looks to improve under coach David Braun and showcase new QB Preston Stone.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tulane -225, Northwestern +185 | Tulane | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Tulane -6 -110, Northwestern +6 -110 | Tulane -6 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 45.5 -112, Under 45.5 -108 | Under 45.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tulane Green Wave -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 45.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tulane to cover the -6 spread, moneyline win, and the game total to go under 45.5 points
Predicted Score: Tulane 27 – Northwestern 17