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Watford vs. Southampton Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Watford vs Southampton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vicarage Road Stadium

Game Overview

Watford hosts Southampton in the EFL Championship with both teams showing mixed recent form. Southampton is slight favorite but has struggled for consistency, while Watford aims to leverage home advantage after stabilizing results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Watford has been inconsistent but unbeaten in last 3 Championship matches (1W, 2D); Southampton is winless in last 3 Championship games but has stronger recent attacking numbers and better overall recent scoring form.
  • Southampton dominates recent H2H with 10 wins to Watford's 2 and 8 draws; Southampton is unbeaten in last 5 meetings (2W, 3D) against Watford.
  • No major injury reports for either side that would significantly alter the lineup or tactics.
  • No adverse external conditions reported; neutral weather and home pitch advantage for Watford could be a factor.
  • Southampton seeks to avoid continuing a poor run in the Championship to keep promotion hopes alive, while Watford is motivated to capitalize at home to climb the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton: +130, Watford: +195, Draw: +220 Southampton β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Southampton -0.25: +102, Watford +25: -122 Watford +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Southampton at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to win on the moneyline, Watford +0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Southampton vs. Swansea City Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Southampton vs Swansea City – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton, England

Game Overview

Southampton, sitting 17th in the Championship, hosts Swansea City, currently 12th. Both teams have shown inconsistent form, but Southampton's recent performances at St. Mary'sβ€”including a dominant 5-0 win in their last league meetingβ€”carry significant weight. Swansea, while competitive away, faces a historical deficit in this fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams are mid-table, but Southampton has shown flashes of quality, especially at home. Swansea have won two away games, however, indicating some resilience on the road. Recent form is mixed for both, with neither showing a clear edge in current season performance.
  • Southampton have a commanding H2H record: P36, W24, D6, L6, with a +45 goal differential and five wins in the last seven meetings[1]. Swansea’s last three trips to St. Mary’s ended in lost causes, including a 5-0 thrashing[3].
  • No detailed injury data available in current results. Top scorers for Southampton include Adam Armstrong (3 goals), and Swansea's Ε½an Vipotnik (4 goals)[5]. Discipline stats: both teams have collected significant cards, but no suspensions are confirmed.
  • No immediate external disruptions. Venue stats favor Southampton, especially given recent history and crowd influence.
  • Both teams need points to avoid slipping further down the table, but Southampton will be motivated by their home H2H dominance and need for a mid-season push.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Southampton -113, Swansea City 275, Draw 250 Southampton β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Southampton -0.5 -108, Swansea City 50 -112 Southampton -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 100, Under 2.5 -120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Southampton -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Southampton to continue their H2H dominance at home, with their superior recent performances at St. Mary's and historical edge over Swansea likely proving decisive.

Predicted Score: Southampton 2-0 Swansea City


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Queens Park Rangers vs. Millwall Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Queens Park Rangers vs Millwall – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Loftus Road Stadium, London, England

Game Overview

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) host Millwall in an evenly matched EFL Championship fixture at Loftus Road with both sides showing moderate form and motivation to climb the table. Historically competitive with balanced H2H outcomes, the match promises a tight contest with slight home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have similar recent outcomes and scoring output. QPR have several key scorers (Kone 4 goals) and maintain steady home form, while Millwall relies on a spread of scorers and has shown resilience especially in away matches.
  • The last 20 meetings are balanced: 6 wins each and 8 draws. Recent head-to-head shows Millwall won a couple of encounters decisively (2-0 home win Dec 2023), while QPR have also secured victories at home. The rivalry is close with no dominant side.
  • No critical injury data suggesting major absences for either team. Both squads appear close to full strength, maintaining their standard lineups.
  • No unusual external factors such as venue change or weather impact expected. Loftus Road offers typical home conditions for QPR.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve league positioning. QPR benefits slightly from home advantage and recent tighter defensive shape.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Millwall: +180, Queens Park Rangers: +160, Draw: +193 Queens Park Rangers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Millwall: -102, Queens Park Rangers: -118, spread_line: 0 Queens Park Rangers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over_2.25: +105, under_2.25: -125 Under 2.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Queens Park Rangers 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Queens Park Rangers at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Queens Park Rangers to win on the moneyline with a moderately high probability due to home advantage and balanced team strengths.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Oxford United vs. Derby County Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Oxford United vs Derby County – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Unknown

Game Overview

This EFL Championship match between Oxford United and Derby County presents a competitive fixture with both teams having differing odds and form going into the game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oxford United is currently favored with odds of +151, indicating a slightly stronger recent performance. Derby County, however, is valued at +200, suggesting a potential underdog story.
  • Insufficient recent head-to-head data is available, making it challenging to derive insights solely from past matchups.
  • No specific injury reports are provided, but both teams will likely have players missing due to common football injuries.
  • Weather and crowd support could influence the match, but no specific external factors are highlighted.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Oxford United might have a slight edge due to being at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Derby +200, Oxford +151, Draw +185 Oxford United β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Spread Derby 0 +111, Oxford 0 -132 Derby +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2 -108, Under 2 -112 Under 2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oxford United 38%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 0%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Oxford United at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oxford United is predicted to win due to their home advantage and slightly favorable odds.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Oxford United


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Middlesbrough vs. Ipswich Town Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Middlesbrough vs Ipswich Town – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-17
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Middlesbrough

Game Overview

Middlesbrough hosts Ipswich Town in a tightly contested EFL Championship match. Both teams display relatively balanced form but recent trends suggest a low-scoring game with Ipswich showing resilience on the road and Middlesbrough struggling to convert chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Middlesbrough have scored freely at home this season but recently show a lack of clinical finish. Ipswich perform well defensively away, scoring few goals but maintaining solidity.
  • Recent head-to-head matches have been tight, with few goals and balanced results, favoring no clear dominance by either side.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would directly impact attacking or defensive structure.
  • First match after international break often leads to cautious play; weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral without major impact.
  • Ipswich have strong motivation to bounce back from slow starts and prove their improved form away. Middlesbrough want to leverage home advantage to maintain pace in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +174, away: +155, draw: +205 away β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 67%
Spread home: -102, away: -118, spread_value: 0 away 0 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108, line: 2.25 under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ipswich Town 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ipswich Town at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Away win on the moneyline; spread favors Ipswich to cover; total goals under 2.5

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Portsmouth vs. Middlesbrough Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 04 Oct 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Fratton Park

Game Overview

Portsmouth hosts Middlesbrough in an EFL Championship match. Portsmouth has shown mixed form, while Middlesbrough has been consistent in their recent outings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Middlesbrough is in good form in the Championship, having won key away games. Portsmouth's performance has been inconsistent lately.
  • Portsmouth and Middlesbrough have a history of draws, with 9 draws in 18 recent encounters. Middlesbrough historically has a slight advantage overall.
  • No significant injury updates have been noted for either team.
  • Home advantage might slightly favor Portsmouth, but Middlesbrough's recent form suggests they could capitalize on away wins.
  • Both teams are motivated, with Middlesbrough looking to maintain their strong form and Portsmouth seeking to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Portsmouth: 191, Middlesbrough: 133, Draw: 225 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Spread Middlesbrough -0.25: -101, Portsmouth 25: -119 Middlesbrough -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Middlesbrough 79%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Middlesbrough at 79% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Middlesbrough to win or draw, with a slight emphasis on a draw given the head-to-head history.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Bristol City vs. Queens Park Rangers Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bristol City vs Queens Park Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ashton Gate Stadium

Game Overview

Bristol City hosts Queens Park Rangers in a crucial EFL Championship clash at Ashton Gate. Both teams have been competitive recently, with Bristol City showing a slight edge in home form and historical results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bristol City has demonstrated stronger recent form with more consistent wins and home advantage, while QPR has struggled to secure wins away from home.
  • The recent head-to-head record favors Bristol City with 9 wins compared to QPR's 6, with multiple close contests indicating a competitive rivalry. Notably, Bristol City has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including some narrow margins.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side that would significantly impact starting lineups or key player availability.
  • Match is played at Bristol City's home ground, Ashton Gate, providing a familiar setting and crowd support. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard for autumn in England.
  • Bristol City appears more motivated to maintain or improve their position with stronger push for playoff contention, whereas Queens Park Rangers have shown inconsistency that may affect confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bristol City -121, Queens Park Rangers 305, Draw 250 Bristol City β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Bristol City -0.5 -121, Queens Park Rangers +50 101 Bristol City -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -120, Under 2.5 100 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bristol City 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bristol City to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to have under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Watford vs. Oxford United Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Watford vs Oxford United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Vicarage Road

Game Overview

Championship Round 9 fixture between Watford and Oxford United, two teams with balanced head-to-head results and mixed recent form; Watford playing at home with slight defensive edge, Oxford United with stronger recent win ratio but more goals conceded.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Watford's recent form shows 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in last 5, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.4 goals per match, indicating strong defense but modest attack. Oxford United has 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.0 goals per match, showing more offensive output but weaker defense.
  • Both sides evenly matched historically with 1 win each and 1 draw in their last three encounters; Watford has slight advantage at home with a recent 1-0 win and overall more clean sheets versus Oxford United.
  • Watford missing Egil Selvik, Giorgi Chakvetadze, and Pierre Dwomoh to injury; Oxford United missing Ciaron Brown, Matthew Phillips, and Ole Romeny.
  • No unusual external conditions reported; match at Watford’s home ground Vicarage Road, providing home advantage; no weather or pitch issues noted.
  • Both teams likely highly motivated to solidify position early in the Championship season; Watford seeking to capitalize on home advantage while Oxford United aims to continue relatively better recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Watford: 100, Oxford United: 260, Draw: 220 Watford β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Watford -0.5: 100, Oxford United +50: -120 Watford -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -113, Under 2.25: -107 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Watford 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Watford to win on moneyline, Watford -0.5 on spread, and Under 2.25 goals total

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Millwall vs. West Bromwich Albion Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Millwall vs West Bromwich Albion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Den

Game Overview

Millwall hosts West Bromwich Albion in a crucial EFL Championship matchup. Both teams have shown mixed form, with recent head-to-heads often resulting in draws. Key factors include team performance, head-to-head statistics, and potential injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Millwall has shown some resilience at home, while West Brom has struggled to find consistency. Millwall won 4 of their last 13 meetings against West Brom, with many ending in draws.
  • Recent matches have often ended in draws or close results, with Millwall winning 2-1 in their most recent encounter.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the match.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure points for promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Millwall: 184, West Bromwich Albion: 150, Draw: 205 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Millwall: 104, West Bromwich Albion: -124 Millwall +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: -127, Under: 107 Under 2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 77%
Spread Millwall 0 6%
Over/Under Under 2 28%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 77% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with a slight edge for a draw or a low-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Preston North End vs. Charlton Athletic Prediction Championship in Soccer

Match Analysis: Preston North End vs Charlton Athletic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Deepdale Stadium

Game Overview

Preston North End hosts Charlton Athletic in a crucial EFL Championship match. The home team is favored, but Charlton has shown resilience in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Preston has a mixed record with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Charlton has 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss during the same period.
  • Historically, Preston has dominated Charlton, winning recent encounters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team.
  • Weather conditions are not expected to impact play.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win to improve their league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Preston North End: 144, Draw: 205, Charlton Athletic: 191 Preston North End β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Preston North End: -128, Charlton Athletic: 108 Preston North End β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: 104, Under 2.25: -124 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Preston North End 46%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Preston North End at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Preston North End to win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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